Demystifying Betting Myths
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# Archive: Case Studies Subscribe to Case Studies

## Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 109 bets, from 07/12/2011 to 31/03/2012

Patience and persistence is paying off. Since December 2011, Soccerwidow has published regular match previews and betting recommendations mostly for English Premier League and German Bundesliga 1 games in the German language Betfair blog. For...

## Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 56 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 29/02/2012

It is tricky to prove mathematically that betting success is not connected with luck because ‘luck’ is impossible to quantify or express in a formulaic manner. However, it is possible to show empirically that betting selections chosen entirely...

## Value Bet Test Evaluation – Three Months – 65% Bank Increase

In August 2011, Soccerwidow began a portfolio football betting exercise involving the backing of over-priced odds and the laying of under-priced odds, subject to certain calculated probability parameters. The picks were originally only published...

## Holy Grail: Lay 0-0 at Half Time

I have come across an interesting riddle which is worthwhile mentioning on Soccerwidow… This mystery was presented by a Dr Slicer approximately two years ago in the Betfair Community Forum and still causes headaches for many people! Dr Slicer...

## VALUE Betting Example – Stuttgart Playing at Home

As this weekend sees the start of the 2011-12 German football season and many of my readers are from Germany, I am in the process of finishing my statistical evaluation of Bundesliga 1, and to give you an idea of the direction I’m taking here’s...

## Home – Draw – Away: Systematic Betting

The Numbers Game Between 2006-2011, if you had gambled unemotionally and systematically on all English Premier League matches to be home wins and placed a constant stake of 10 € per fixture, then at the end of the fifth season, your winnings...

## HT/FT – Betting on Equally Matched Teams – Conclusion

Following my articles on the theory and practice of System X1, I now present the results of the second round of matches together with an overall conclusion. Image: CREATISTA (Shutterstock) The results of the selected matches played on 22 January,...

## HT/FT – Betting on Equally Matched Teams – Evaluation

A fortnight ago I explained the popular football betting strategy: System X1. This is a combination bet of draw/home on the half-time and full-time results of a game using a picking criteria of games between evenly matched teams in terms of...

## HT/FT – Betting on Equally Matched Teams – Theory

Also known as “System X1“, this scheme is lauded in many circles as very profitable. A quick search on the Net will reveal many articles with authors assuring their readers that they use System X1 themselves. It is based on the half-time/full-time...