I have come across an interesting riddle which is worthwhile mentioning on Soccerwidow… This mystery was presented by a Dr Slicer approximately two years ago in the Betfair Community Forum and still causes headaches for many people!
Dr Slicer describes that he found the ‘holy grail’ or a ‘no-lose strategy’ and since then he has not lost a single football bet which is suitable for his formula. The riddle is simple:
Placing 2 bets before kick off:
First bet: Laying 0-0 half time result
Second bet is guaranteed to lose should the first bet win
If the first bet loses a third bet is placed during half time and an adjustment of the second bet may be needed.
However, it is not revealed what bets 2 and 3 comprise.
The whole strategy with a calculated staking plan guarantees a profit between 9 to 12% per match. One more little thing: The matches must have a clear advantage for the home team. Whoever finds the answer will have found the holy grail 🙂
Here are a few links to some of the forums where this mystery has been discussed with many suggestions and thoughts, but without solutions:
- Slicer’s Bet Attack (The Original)
- Slicer’s World Cup Thread-Final ever thread and postings
- Community Betfair
- Punterslounge
Although in many forums it is said that this is a hoax and not possible… My opinion is that it is most certainly not a hoax. One must think ‘outside the box’ in order to find the identities of bets 2 and 3.
HINT: Don’t limit your thinking to the correct score market only and it’s not only the 0-0 full time result which is guaranteed to lose should the first bet win. Reverse engineering is needed to solve this riddle!
Can anyone find the solution?
Your Soccerwidow
x
The 2 bets are backing 0-0 full time and the one you introduce during halftime is over 0.5 fulltime. odds of 0-0 full time should be 18 or above and odds of laying 0-0 half time should be 0.27 or above. odds of 0.5 fulltime should be 0.15 or above.
e.g you lay 0-0 halftime with 100 which pays a profit of 27. you back 0-0 fulltime with 20 which pays a profit of 360.
halftime the odds of 0-0 correct score will drop to 10 or above that. so here you will need an adjustment amount of 200 which will pay a profit of 2000 or above that. then you place a a bet of over 0.5 fulltime with R2300, on odds of 0,15 or above that.
commission on £2360 is £118 so a 0-0 final scoreline would leave you well out of pocket. £158 down. the over 0.5 bet would give you a £345 return for a £320 lay out, a + £8.58 after commission which is ok.
I have read a lot about this last few months , systems what people have tried and how they have gone wrong , dont make the profit if its 0-0 at HT , anyway i read up on it all digested it all , did paper trades , and then there it was smiling at me, slicer wasnt wrong , i thought it was a hoax till bets 2 and 3 hits you.
Hey, what is the 3rd Bet ?
Have a look at the HT/FT bets as the second bet. Keep thinking. 🙂
I guess it can only work with HT/FT if it’s back 0-0 HT not lay.
These are three different bets..
(1) Lay 0-0 at HT
(2) Back a bet with very little money at a high price that will drop hugely if it’s still 0-0 at HT or, alternatively, lay a bet with a low price that will go up through the roof if it’s still 0-0 at HT (it’s just an insurance bet)
(3) The third bet you need to buy out of your 2nd bet, calculating the price in a way that you don’t lose any money should it stay 0-0 FT. However, sometimes you may accept a small loss.
The true trick of this riddle is to pick the games that won’t have a 0-0 at HT.
Is it Draw/Favourite? Will this odd drop enough ?
Another clue…please?
Thanks