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Effect on odds and implied probabilities

Value Betting in Operation: Why the HDAFU Tables Work

We recently received a very valid question from a reader who went through our 2017-18 Winter League Report with a fine-tooth comb: “I have a question for you since your strategy in the German Bundesliga was Underdog Whole Season, why do you...

Starting or Pausing Your 1X2 Portfolio in the Middle of a Season

What happens if I miss the start of the season or the start of the first or second half? Can I afford a break and then restart the campaign again after a holiday? In the articles Judging the Risk of a Football Betting Portfolio and Finding...

1X2 System Betting: Key Articles – HDAFU Tables

System betting using a portfolio of strategies from several different leagues is for most people a difficult subject to master. The following series of key articles is aimed at helping you fully understand the fundamentals of profitable 1X2...

What are Inflection Points and their Use in System Betting

An inflection point is a point at which the curvature of a curve changes direction, that is, the curve changes from being concave (concave downward) to convex (concave upward), or vice versa. What does this have to do with betting? Image: FXQuadro...

Sound Staking: Flat Stakes & Ratcheting

I have always preached that there is no way to make money in the long run from betting without having a strict staking plan in place. But which staking plan is the best? The answer is: A simple and straightforward staking plan. Nothing complicated;...
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2019-20 Summer and Winter League HDAFU & Over/Under Cluster Tables Calendar

If you are not already aware, Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables are the analytical tool we use for precision 1X2 (Home-Draw-Away-Favourite-Underdog) portfolio betting. The level of detail contained in the tables even stretches to distinguishing...

Correct Score Betting vs. FT Result / BTTS Combination Bet

Backing the full-time home or away win in a match in aggregation with both teams to score (BTTS) has become a popular market offered by many online bookmakers. The very nature of selecting two variables in what is effectively a combination bet...

Judging the Risk of a Football Betting Portfolio

Understanding how risk can be controlled when betting is sometimes quite a challenge. Learn today how risk can be reduced & controlled when betting on football. Risk management of a portfolio should be an essential part of your betting...
Soccer Field With Snow

Why Mid-season Breaks Matter in Football Betting

You may have heard the cliché that football is a game of two halves and, indeed, we have written about the statistical differences between the first and second halves of individual matches before. But when it comes down to the essence of football...
Cluster Table Screenshot - Betting Table Tab

How to Use Soccerwidow’s Over/Under Betting Cluster Tables

Soccerwidow’s Cluster Tables are an essential tool for identifying value bets and creating a profitable portfolio in the Over/Under ‘X’ Goals market. They rely on dividing historical data (previous five complete seasons) into...