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Higher Mathematics formulas / Höhere Mathematik Formeln

Combinatorics and Probability Theory in Football Betting

Introduction to Combinatorics and Probability Theory This article is a step-by-step guide explaining how to compute the probability that, for example, exactly 4 out of 6 picks win, or how to calculate the likelihood that at least 4 of 6 bets...

Half-time Results are more Predictable than Full-time

It makes sense, doesn’t it? Predicting the result of a full 90-minute match has to be harder than predicting the outcome of just the first half. Logically speaking, any full-time (FT) football betting strategy must be riskier than betting...
Man receives money from hand within laptop screen / Mann bekommt Geld von einer Hand aus einem Laptop

Liquidity at Betting Exchanges – Which are the Best?

For serious bettors and professional traders, betting exchanges are the most convenient and reliable platforms. Bookmakers are often very quick to limit stakes and/or close accounts of successful customers, or void individual bets or even whole...
Conceptual image of 1x2 football betting / Konzeptionelles Bild 1x2 Fußball-Wetten

1×2 Football Betting – How to Compile a Winning Portfolio

This article moves away from betting on individual teams, and pushes strategic thinking further up the knowledge ladder. The method described below explains how to use our HDA simulation tables for recognising profitable 1×2 betting strategies...
Woman holding bank notes close to her face with a calculator and bills in the background / Frau hält Banknoten an ihr Gesicht mit Taschenrechner und Rechnungen im Hintergrund

The Gambler’s Ruin Explained – Fair Coin Flipping

One of the phenomenons of probability is Gambler’s Ruin. The most common meaning is that a gambler with finite wealth, playing a fair game (that is, each bet has expected zero value to both sides) will eventually go broke against an opponent...
Red pen on a calculator beside a piggy bank - save on costs, expenses, and budget / Roter Stift auf einem Taschenrechner neben einem Sparschwein - Kosten sparen und Ausgaben reduzieren

Arbitrage between Bookmakers and Cross Market Arbitrage

(1) Arbitrage between Two Bookmakers in One Betting Market This is the classic form of sports arbitrage (sure bets) in football betting. The arbitrage opportunity relies on at least two bookmakers evaluating the same event differently, each...
Lay Draw EPL 2008-09 to 2011-12

1×2 Betting System: Analysis of HDA Data and Strategy Development – LAY THE DRAW

Numerous Web sites and forums pay homage to the Lay The Draw strategy with prolific threads from supporters claiming to have found extremely lucrative 1×2 betting systems. Therefore, I have decided to explore lay the draw betting in detail...
Interconnected silver spheres with randomly placed red coloured spheres / Vernetzte Silberkugeln mit zufällig platzierten roten Kugeln

Football Roulette – 2012-13 Correct Score Simulation And Conclusion

In this final article on the Football Betting Correct Score Roulette System we will take the initial paper test one stage further and add what would have happened in the 2012-13 season if we had continued the system with the seven teams failing...
Business picture about analysis - gold coins with people on a sliding slope / Illustration Analyse - Goldmünzen mit Menschen auf einem Rutschhang

Football Roulette Correct Score Betting Strategy – 2011/2012 Season Paper Test Results

What’s The Score? After describing the Football Roulette – Correct Score Betting system, it is time to reveal the results of our first paper test. 30 teams were picked according to a popular selection process: 8 from the English Premier...
Close up of roulette wheel with football instead ball / Nahaufnahme eines Roulette-Rads mit Fußball statt Kugel

Football Roulette – Correct Score Betting Strategy

Methodical Correct Score Betting Claimed by many to be very successful, this simple football correct score betting system is based on the statistical likelihood of a certain event occurring. In casino roulette, there is a well-known method...