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2019-20 Summer and Winter League HDAFU & Over/Under Cluster Tables Calendar

If you are not already aware, Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables are the analytical tool we use for precision 1X2 (Home-Draw-Away-Favourite-Underdog) portfolio betting. The level of detail contained in the tables even stretches to distinguishing...
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The Science of Calculating Winning and Losing Streaks

This article is a short journey to the theme ‘risk management’ as we are often asked… How high should be a starting bank? Is 5,000 units enough? Well, there is no standard answer to this question. It all depends on the individual...

Starting or Pausing Your 1X2 Portfolio in the Middle of a Season

Can I afford a break and then restart the campaign again after a holiday? What happens if I miss the start of the season or the start of the first or second half? In the articles Judging the Risk of a Football Betting Portfolio and Finding...
Cartoon: Group looking at a whiteboard with very strange word on it / Karikatur: Gruppe vor einem Whiteboard mit einem sehr seltsamem Wort

How do Bookmakers Tick? How & Why do they Set Their Odds as they do?

Becoming a successful bettor requires not only a deep understanding of odds calculation but, it is also necessary to understand how the market works and especially how the bookmakers operate. Of course, bookmakers are in the business of setting...

Judging the Risk of a Football Betting Portfolio

Understanding how risk can be controlled when betting is sometimes quite a challenge. Learn today how risk can be reduced & controlled when betting on football. Risk management of a portfolio should be an essential part of your betting...
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Why Mid-season Breaks Matter in Football Betting

You may have heard the cliché that football is a game of two halves and, indeed, we have written about the statistical differences between the first and second halves of individual matches before. But when it comes down to the essence of football...

Sound Staking: Flat Stakes & Ratcheting

I have always preached that there is no way to make money in the long run from betting without having a strict staking plan in place. But which staking plan is the best? The answer is: A simple and straightforward staking plan. Nothing complicated;...
Puppy counting goldfish jumping into a bowl from a laptop / Welpen beobachtet Goldfische, die von einem Laptop in eine Schüssel springen

Betting System Concepts For Successful Football Betting

Imagine a trawler boat casting its net indiscriminately into the depths of an ocean. Although we know the fish are down there, ultimately, the only question that can ever be answered with any certainty is, “How many fish were caught?”. We...

2017-18 Winter League Report – Bank Management & Stake Size

In the article Finding a System Using the HO/AO Quotient I showed you how to identify profitable clusters where the market constantly over- or underprices the bets on offer and, based on this knowledge, the article Judging the Risk of a Football...

System Football Betting: 2017-18 Winter League Report – 35k in 138 Days

The 2017-18 Winter League Campaign consisted of 138 betting days spanning 10 and-a-half months. Despite a rocky start and other challenging periods throughout 2017-18, a starting bank of 4,000 units was eventually turned into 38,925. Image...