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Lay the Draw - 5 seasons - fixed stake

Bet and Win – Avoid Placing Bets at the Start of Season

If you are not operating a football betting portfolio which is primarily aimed at diversifying risk and balancing your cash resources between different leagues, matches, and outcomes, then it is strongly advisable to hold off from any betting...

Half-time Results are more Predictable than Full-time

It makes sense, doesn’t it? Predicting the result of a full 90-minute match has to be harder than predicting the outcome of just the first half. Logically speaking, any full-time (FT) football betting strategy must be riskier than betting...
Closeup of bunch of skeleton keys / Nahaufnahme eines Schlüsselbundes

The Ten Golden Rules of Gambling

If you survive the assault course of these 10 Commandments of Gambling then you may have a chance of being successful with your betting activities… There are no more than ten “golden rules” for gambling success and it’s...
Man receives money from hand within laptop screen / Mann bekommt Geld von einer Hand aus einem Laptop

Liquidity at Betting Exchanges – Which are the Best?

For serious bettors and professional traders, betting exchanges are the most convenient and reliable platforms. Bookmakers are often very quick to limit stakes and/or close accounts of successful customers, or void individual bets or even whole...
Traditional bookmakers betting shop / Traditioneller Buchmacher Wettshop

Value Betting versus Gut Feeling

Surprisingly, it seems that there are many sports bettors who make their selections in much the same fashion as the multitude of people who select random numbers on their weekly lottery slips. Whilst the lottery player may opt for personal numbers...
Finger wagging at Chihuahua puppy for good behaviour / Erhobener Zeigefinger zeigt Welpen gutes Benehmen

Calculating Odds for League Newcomers is Unpredictable

We often receive queries asking how to calculate odds for league newcomers and why we don’t develop a Value Bet Calculator for league matches involving teams without head-to-head (H2H) history, or their respective last 25 matches being in...
Excel screenshot showing the solutions to our odds correction exercise

Oddsportal Archived Odds – Identifying and Correcting 1×2 Odds Errors

As we have mentioned before, one of our favourite sites for collecting historical data is www.oddsportal.com, and in our recent article about the concepts for football betting systems we outlined how to set-up an Oddsportal user account and...
A school of fish with 3 fish swimming against the stream / 3 Fische, die gegen den Strom anderer Fische schwimmen

Successful Football Betting Using a Portfolio Strategy

In principle, football results are randomly distributed but the outcomes of games can be predicted fairly accurately using statistical modelling. This is contrary to other forms of gambling loaded in favour of the house such as lottery and roulette,...
Money strategies concept - dollar bills on chess board / Geldstrategie Konzept - Dollarscheine auf einem Schachbrett

A Basic Understanding of Betting Exchanges

A betting exchange is not a bookmaker. They simply provide the Web site (platform) to allow logged-in members to bet against each other… Image: Nagy-Bagoly Arpad (Shutterstock) Betting Exchange Basics A betting exchange site is a platform...
Hand puts coins on money staircase / Hand legt Münzen auf Geldtreppe

Greening-Up In-Play at Betting Exchanges

Gambling ‘in play’ provides the opportunity of trading or hedging via betting exchange sites such as Betfair, Betdaq or Smarkets, where this type of strategy is known as greening-up (i.e. two or more transactions performed to produce a ‘green...