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Handcuffed businessman with bank notes / Mit Handschellen am Rücken gefesselter Geschäftsmann mit Banknoten in den Händen

Betfair Premium Charge Part 2

Death Of The Dream: So, my case scenario revolves around the fact that you are statistically more likely to belong to the 99.5% majority of Betfair customers who have a tendency to lose more bets than you win. If so, you can rest assured that...
G-cramp squeezing oil from coins

Betfair Premium Charge Part 1

The Naked Truth: I had always believed that if I found one good strategy (or hopefully more), I could sit back and earn an easy, tax-free living from betting, whilst at the same time having fun operating this blog and explaining to other people...
Financial reports, calculator and pen / Finanzberichte, Taschenrechner und Stift

Similarities and Differences between Stock Trading and Football Betting

Analysing Investments In the stock market there is a rule of thumb: Buy shares when the stock chart heads in a direction from bottom left to top right, and don’t burn your fingers when the curve is falling from top left to bottom right. Whether...
Wizard with glowing magical orb / Zauberer mit glühender magischer Kugel

Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 56 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 29/02/2012

It is tricky to prove mathematically that betting success is not connected with luck because ‘luck’ is impossible to quantify or express in a formulaic manner. However, it is possible to show empirically that betting selections chosen entirely...
Female fortune teller holding a crystal ball to her eye / Wahrsagerin hält eine Kristallkugel am Auge

What Does ‘Form’ Mean in Football?

Please Discuss… Now and again Soccerwidow receives enquiries as to whether we consider ‘form’ in our match analyses and value bet recommendations. The reader will have to excuse our increasing ignorance of the concept of ‘form’...
Passports on a heap / Pässe auf einem Haufen

Free Download: Worldwide Football League Betting Opportunities

Whilst not a totally exhaustive list, the Excel spreadsheet available below for download shows in tabular form just about every professional and semi-professional football league in the world available for betting (split into the six FIFA confederations)....

Europa League: What happened here?

Translated excerpts from a thread in a German forum from yesterday (30.11.2011)… 13:48 – Akoya Hey com, I haven’t posted for a long time however for today I have 2 games which have 99% chance to win (secret source) sorry I cannot...
Computer mouse attached to football bearing 1X2 symbols / Computemaus befestigt an einem Fußball mit 1X2 Symbolen

Value Bet Test Evaluation – Three Months – 65% Bank Increase

In August 2011, Soccerwidow began a portfolio football betting exercise involving the backing of over-priced odds and the laying of under-priced odds, subject to certain calculated probability parameters. The picks were originally only published...
Rays of light through the window on a grail on an altar / Lichtstrahlen durch Fenster scheinen auf einen Gral auf einem Altar

Holy Grail: Lay 0-0 at Half Time

I have come across an interesting riddle which is worthwhile mentioning on Soccerwidow… This mystery was presented by a Dr Slicer approximately two years ago in the Betfair Community Forum and still causes headaches for many people! Dr Slicer...
3d - Man under crossbar / 3D - Mann unter einem Querbalken

Backing and Laying Under the Minimum Stake Amount in Betfair

At some stage, after extensive paper exercises and calculations everyone will reach the phase where testing a system or strategy with real money is necessary. Image: Scott Maxwell / LuMaxArt (Shutterstock) However watertight the system seems...