Author Archives: Soccerwidow

Graph Profit+Loss HDAFU Trial Summer Leagues 2020

Interim Report after 91 Picks & 26 Betting Rounds ~ HDAFU Tables

2020 Summer League HDAFU Tables: Coronavirus Trial – ‘Live’ Picks Since the 1st July, we have been running a live picks experiment using systems selected from our HDAFU Tables to see if Covid-19 is affecting results one way or another. As...
Graph - 18 rounds Over Under Picks Soccerwidow - Corona experiment July 2020

Coronavirus Experiment: Over Under Betting after Interruption

After the first wave of the coronavirus, most of the leagues have now resumed their games and Soccerwidow started a public experiment to see whether old statistics can still be used and what can be observed after this unexpectedly long break....
Coronavirus Effects on Football Matches

Coronavirus: Its Effects on Football Matches & Results

With the current outbreak of Coronavirus spreading throughout the world, many punters are very worried about the effects this may have on football tournaments and results. Will match results be more volatile? Can past statistics still be applied...
Effect on odds and implied probabilities

Value Betting in Operation: Why the HDAFU Tables Work

We recently received a very valid question from a reader who went through our 2017-18 Winter League Report with a fine-tooth comb: “I have a question for you since your strategy in the German Bundesliga was Underdog Whole Season, why do you...

Starting or Pausing Your 1X2 Portfolio in the Middle of a Season

What happens if I miss the start of the season or the start of the first or second half? Can I afford a break and then restart the campaign again after a holiday? In the articles Judging the Risk of a Football Betting Portfolio and Finding...

What are Inflection Points and their Use in System Betting

An inflection point is a point at which the curvature of a curve changes direction, that is, the curve changes from being concave (concave downward) to convex (concave upward), or vice versa. What does this have to do with betting? Image: FXQuadro...

Sound Staking: Flat Stakes & Ratcheting

I have always preached that there is no way to make money in the long run from betting without having a strict staking plan in place. But which staking plan is the best? The answer is: A simple and straightforward staking plan. Nothing complicated;...
Opportunity Old Wooden Sign with Turbulent Background / Opportunity (Gelegenheit) Wegweiser mit turbulentem Hintergrund

Are You the Architect of Your own Fortune, or Misfortune?

Richard Wiseman of the University of Hertfordshire is a luck expert: In numerous surveys and experiments he has researched what luck actually is and he has published various books and publications in which he advocates that luck is merely an...
Frequently Asked Questions - OU Course

Frequently Asked Questions – Fundamentals of Sports Betting Course

Here are the most frequent questions asked by our readers and customers about the course. If you can’t find an answer to your particular question, then please free to ask us using the comments section at the bottom of this page. We usually...
Young woman pointing on a calculator

The Science of Calculating Winning and Losing Streaks

This article is a short journey to the theme ‘risk management’ as we are often asked… How high should be a starting bank? Is 5,000 units enough? Well, there is no standard answer to this question. It all depends on the individual...