HT/FT – Betting on Equally Matched Teams – Evaluation


Here are the tables for the different combination bets based on the best odds I could find. I have not inserted the individual bookmaker links due to time constraints, but in any case, the odds constantly change and better odds may always be found elsewhere as demand and supply fluctuates before an event (click on each table to enlarge: opens in a new tab).

System X1 Experiment Two - Draw/Draw combination weighted staking plan

Combination Bet XX (draw/draw) for 22.01.2011
(Best Available Odds)

System X1 Experiment Two - Draw/Home combination weighted staking plan

Combination bet X1 (draw/home) for 22.01.2011
(Best Available Odds)

System X1 Experiment Two - Home/Home combination weighted staking plan

Combination bet 11 (home/home) for 22.01.2011
(Best Available Odds)

System X1 Experiment Two - Away/Away combination weighted staking plan

Combination bet 22 (away/away) for 22.01.2011
(Best Available Odds)

System X1 Experiment Two - Full-time Draw result weighted staking plan

Single Result Bet (Draw) for 22.01.2011
(Best Available Odds)

Combining the original set of 10 matches and their results with the odds shown above (assuming the HT/FT and FT draw odds are fairly similar and the statistical distribution of each match-day is also fairly similar), profit and loss would look as follows:

  • 3 x draw/draw (XX): Profit £68.98
  • 2 x home/home (11): Profit £3.77
  • 2 x away/away (22): Profit £3.64
  • 1 x draw/home (X1): Loss -£33.00
  • 4 x draw (X): Profit £37.96

The HT/FT combination of draw/draw (XX) or just betting on the full-time draw (X) look the most promising prospects from this analysis. In the conclusion to this series I will analyse the results of the matches in experiment 2 and publish my overall evaluation.

Free Spreadsheet Download – Here is my Excel spreadsheet for calculating a weighted staking plan:

WEIGHTED STAKE CALCULATOR .XLS EXCEL SPREADSHEET

Just enter your own chosen fixtures and odds into the spreadsheet and the formulas will automatically compute the weighted stakes for you…

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Last Update: 29 January 2011

Categories:1x2 Betting Betting Systems Case Studies



One Response to “HT/FT – Betting on Equally Matched Teams – Evaluation”

  1. 8 April 2013 at 7:19 am #

    Very interesting analysis pertaining to the HT/FT betting differences, etc. I appreciate your effort in doing all this and making it public knowledge.
    Alex (sleepless in Seattle)

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