Demystifying Betting Myths
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Tag Archives: staking plan

Sound Staking: Flat Stakes & Ratcheting

I have always preached that there is no way to make money in the long run from betting without having a strict staking plan in place. But which staking plan is the best? The answer is: A simple and straightforward staking plan. Nothing complicated;...

The Do’s and Don’ts of Building a Bankroll

No matter what form of betting you’re into, building a bankroll is one of the things all the pros do. And it’s for a good reason too – not only does it allow you to prolong your experience, but it’s also an effective approach to managing your...

Results of our 2020 Summer League HDAFU Tables’ Real Time Test

From July 1st to August 26th we ran a Summer League HDAFU Tables Live Picks Trial to see if and how coronavirus lockdowns have affected match outcomes and betting results. Towards the end of this summary article, we also discuss the statistical...
Coronavirus illustration & soccer player

2020 Summer League HDAFU Tables – Coronavirus Trial – ‘Live’ Picks

This article will be updated at least once a day until the first halves of the league seasons highlighted finish. Clear your browser cache and then press the F5 key to refresh. Live Simulation: Nine HDAFU Systems in Four Leagues Many of you...
Young woman pointing on a calculator

The Science of Calculating Winning and Losing Streaks

This article is a short journey to the theme ‘risk management’ as we are often asked… How high should be a starting bank? Is 5,000 units enough? Well, there is no standard answer to this question. It all depends on the individual...

2017-18 Winter League Report – Bank Management & Stake Size

In the article Finding a System Using the HO/AO Quotient I showed you how to identify profitable clusters where the market constantly over- or underprices the bets on offer and, based on this knowledge, the article Judging the Risk of a Football...
Dollar notes / Geldbündel zusammengerollter Dollarscheine

How to Calculate Losing Streaks & Optimal Bankroll

In this article we will teach you to determine how large your starting bank needs to be to avoid bankruptcy by calculating the longest losing streaks that can be expected from your chosen betting strategy. What is Bankroll Management? Bankroll...
Woman holding bank notes close to her face with a calculator and bills in the background / Frau hält Banknoten an ihr Gesicht mit Taschenrechner und Rechnungen im Hintergrund

The Gambler’s Ruin Explained – Fair Coin Flipping

One of the phenomenons of probability is Gambler’s Ruin. The most common meaning is that a gambler with finite wealth, playing a fair game (that is, each bet has expected zero value to both sides) will eventually go broke against an opponent...
Interconnected silver spheres with randomly placed red coloured spheres / Vernetzte Silberkugeln mit zufällig platzierten roten Kugeln

Football Roulette – 2012-13 Correct Score Simulation And Conclusion

In this final article on the Football Betting Correct Score Roulette System we will take the initial paper test one stage further and add what would have happened in the 2012-13 season if we had continued the system with the seven teams failing...
Business picture about analysis - gold coins with people on a sliding slope / Illustration Analyse - Goldmünzen mit Menschen auf einem Rutschhang

Football Roulette Correct Score Betting Strategy – 2011/2012 Season Paper Test Results

What’s The Score? After describing the Football Roulette – Correct Score Betting system, it is time to reveal the results of our first paper test. 30 teams were picked according to a popular selection process: 8 from the English Premier...