Football Roulette – 2012-13 Correct Score Simulation And Conclusion


Football Betting Correct Score Roulette System Stop-Loss Summary

The following table may reveal a rather surprising result (click on the table to open it in a new tab and then use the provided magnifier to enlarge it):

2011-12 Football Betting Correct Score Roulette Stop Loss Summary

2011-12 Football Betting Correct Score Roulette Stop Loss Summary

At last, we have a profit albeit small but, a profit nevertheless.

Following the principle of choosing other teams to add in place of those already completed is rather a subjective matter and we shall not hazard to guess in this article.

There may be scope to make more profit from this system but in our opinion the initial choice of teams needs to be considered from a pure statistical viewpoint and not in an arbitrary fashion as the advocates suggest.

The system as it is purported widely throughout the Web is fundamentally flawed and we will discuss why as follows.

Football Betting Correct Score Roulette System Overall Summary

The actual idea still seems promising to us but more properly applied in an arena where the actual result is a little more predictable. In other words, choosing an event which occurs more regularly.

The progressive stake system is borrowed from casino roulette where there are only two events, “red” or “black” (ignoring “green zero” for the time being).

We suggest that the football roulette system be applied to a similar statistical event (like a coin toss), where the chances of success are already very much improved.

The odds on offer may be smaller, but the waiting time for the desired result may also be far smaller meaning shorter losing streaks and ultimately smaller losses before the win materialises.

If you are interested in correct score betting, then our suggestion for a more successful system is to apply the same progressive staking method to a more regularly occurring score.

Try 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1 at half-time, for example. These are the most common half-time scores in most leagues in any season and account for approximately 70% of all half-time scores, whichever league you analyse.

Hopefully, this set of articles has given you an insight into system betting based purely on “luck”. For more advice on how to structure a betting system more cogently, read our article on the concepts of system betting.

Above all else, any betting system must contain an element of “value” because without this you are doomed to failure from the start.

Understanding odds calculation is the first step to understanding “value” and our course using the over/under ‘X’ goals market as an example is an invaluable guide to teaching yourself the basics of successful football betting.


Go back to: Football Roulette Correct Score Betting Strategy – 2011/2012 Paper Test.

Go back to: Football Roulette – Correct Score Betting System explained.


Footnotes:

Scunthorpe recorded a 2-0 home win on 3rd August, 2013, in their first game of the 2013-14 season. (You could have bought odds of 14.0 at both BetVictor and Marathonbet).

Liverpool succeeded to beat Hull 2-0 on 1st January, 2014, in their 10th home game of the 2013-14 season. (The highest odds available were with DOXXbet at 8.0). For such a prominent team in England’s top tier, this ended an incredible sequence of 53 consecutive home games without a 2-0 home win spanning almost three years since a 2-0 victory over Stoke City at Anfield on 2nd February, 2011.


Last Update: 11 June 2013

Categories:Betting Systems Case Studies



4 Responses to “Football Roulette – 2012-13 Correct Score Simulation And Conclusion”

  1. Right Winger
    8 October 2015 at 9:36 pm #

    Hi Ayon,

    Liverpool’s long run without a 2-0 home win was incredibly 53 consecutive Premier League games at Anfield…

  2. Ayon
    8 October 2015 at 1:20 pm #

    Hello sir,
    In your footnotes you mentioned that Liverpool didn’t get a 2-0 home win in 53 matches. Is this statisticks is only about premier league games or every matches like friendly,league and cup matches ?

  3. Soccerwidow's Bloke
    27 July 2014 at 5:01 pm #

    Hello Joe,

    Thanks for your comment.

    The answer is simple really – the higher scores do not occur regularly enough to provide confidence in your betting bank. For example, if you figure how often a 2-2 scoreline occurs in a league in a whole season, you will soon understand that the possible losing streak will very quickly deplete your bank. Choosing a more frequent scoreline such as 2-0 or 2-1 to the home team is more viable. Try looking at the 0-0 half-time score line too.

    However, this is not a system I would employ personally, and the point of this article is to make people aware of its failings and deficiencies, despite its apparent popularity in numerous posts I have seen on many other web sites.

    Hope this helps and good luck.

  4. Joe
    23 July 2014 at 9:15 am #

    Hi Sir., I enjoyed your creativity and am interested in using your system. I have a question for you if you don’t mind. Why is your Football Betting Correct Score Roulette System not based on the total scores higher than 3, for example, 3-1 or 2-2? I am looking forward to hearing from you. Thank you for your advice.

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