Demystifying Betting Myths
Statistics are the language of betting; learn to speak fluently, and the market will reveal its secrets.

Experience the future of sports betting education at our new store – visit Soccerwidow's new store!

Archive: Page 2

Profit/Loss graph after 25 rounds - Corona experiment July 2020

Coronavirus Experiment: Over Under Betting after Interruption

After the first wave of the coronavirus, most of the leagues have now resumed their games and Soccerwidow started a public experiment to see whether old statistics can still be used and what can be observed after this unexpectedly long break....

2019 Summer League HDAFU Tables – Campaign Report: £8k+ in 288 Days!

The best test of any theory is always how it works in practice: Below is the full account of our FT 1X2 results campaign for the 2019 ‘Summer Leagues’ based around Soccerwidow’s HDAFU ~ Home – Draw – Away –...
Coronavirus Effects on Football Matches

Coronavirus: Its Effects on Football Matches & Results

With the current outbreak of Coronavirus spreading throughout the world, many punters are very worried about the effects this may have on football tournaments and results. Will match results be more volatile? Can past statistics still be applied...
Effect on odds and implied probabilities

Value Betting in Operation: Why the HDAFU Tables Work

We recently received a very valid question from a reader who went through our 2017-18 Winter League Report with a fine-tooth comb: “I have a question for you since your strategy in the German Bundesliga was Underdog Whole Season, why do you...

Starting or Pausing Your 1X2 Portfolio in the Middle of a Season

What happens if I miss the start of the season or the start of the first or second half? Can I afford a break and then restart the campaign again after a holiday? In the articles Judging the Risk of a Football Betting Portfolio and Finding...

1X2 System Betting: Key Articles – HDAFU Tables

System betting using a portfolio of strategies from several different leagues is for most people a difficult subject to master. The following series of key articles is aimed at helping you fully understand the fundamentals of profitable 1X2...

What are Inflection Points and their Use in System Betting

An inflection point is a point at which the curvature of a curve changes direction, that is, the curve changes from being concave (concave downward) to convex (concave upward), or vice versa. What does this have to do with betting? Image: FXQuadro...
Opportunity Old Wooden Sign with Turbulent Background / Opportunity (Gelegenheit) Wegweiser mit turbulentem Hintergrund

Are You the Architect of Your own Fortune, or Misfortune?

Richard Wiseman of the University of Hertfordshire is a luck expert: In numerous surveys and experiments he has researched what luck actually is and he has published various books and publications in which he advocates that luck is merely an...
Young woman pointing on a calculator

The Science of Calculating Winning and Losing Streaks

This article is a short journey to the theme ‘risk management’ as we are often asked… How high should be a starting bank? Is 5,000 units enough? Well, there is no standard answer to this question. It all depends on the individual...
Cartoon: Group looking at a whiteboard with very strange word on it / Karikatur: Gruppe vor einem Whiteboard mit einem sehr seltsamem Wort

How do Bookmakers Tick? How & Why do they Set Their Odds as they do?

Becoming a successful bettor requires not only a deep understanding of odds calculation but, it is also necessary to understand how the market works and especially how the bookmakers operate. Of course, bookmakers are in the business of setting...