24 June 2025

30 thoughts on “What are Inflection Points and their Use in System Betting

  1. Hello Soccerwidow,

    i have a questions to your Inflection Points Graphs.
    i have seen that you use Graphs helper for that.
    There i can see that u have built cluster.
    Example “IP´s by odds”
    starts with 1<=1,18 then 1,18<=1,20 then 1,20<=1,22 and so on..
    so my question for that is did you built it arbitrary? or why do you use this selection?

    Regards,

    1. Hi Sam,

      If you take all 1,900 games and group them into 200 percentiles then you’ll come up with the data in the ‘IP’s by Odds’ tab you’re referring to.

      Sorry, I’m not going to give away the formulas or any more explanations on the mechanics of the tables. It is already hugely time consuming to explain what the tables do and how they can be utilised for identifying profitable betting systems but please don’t expect us to give away the secrets how we build them.

      1. Hello Madam,

        When you say “1,900 games and group them into 200 percentiles”
        On which basis you group these matches ? Are the 200 percentiles based on the odds?

        Thank you !

  2. Hi,
    Thanks for a great site, the articles are really useful and i’ve learnt a lot on betting theory from over the past few weeks.

    While reading through this page, i noticed that in the “How to Use the Knowledge” section, number five mentioned your value bet detector.

    Do you think it’s necessary to purchase and use the value bet detector in addition to HDAFU tables?
    Cheers,

    1. Hi Phil,

      if you are into system betting and wish to use the HDAFU Tables for developing a profitable portfolio of bets, then no, you won’t need the Value Calculator.

      However, if you a ‘Value Bettor’ meaning that you prefer to calculate individual matches and place individual bets, then you will probably benefit from using the Value Calculator in conjunction with the HDAFU Tables to cross-check profitable clusters when you have calculated your 1×2 bets.

      These are two totally different approaches of finding an edge.

  3. Hi team. First and foremost I love Soccer Widow as a betting resource!

    I was just wondering if analysing more seasons (say 10 instead of 5) would better help analyse the demise and birth of different systems/trends?

    For example, being able to see a clearer picture pre/post the introduction of VAR? COVID restrictions from harsh to easing?

    Might give a clearer picture of the effect of events like these?

    Anyway just a point I’d love to get your feedback on.

    Many thanks, Sam.

    1. On the back of that, I thought more seasons covered might also better illustrate maximum profit points as well as maximum draw-downs which might give a better stop point if it turns out you’re stuck in an anomalous/bad season?

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