Tag Archives: betting statistics

Wizard with glowing magical orb / Zauberer mit glühender magischer Kugel

Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 159 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 30/04/2012

After five months of writing match previews and bet recommendations both in the English and German language versions of Betfair’s blog, it is time to review the results and ultimately compare them with Betfair’s own odds (i.e. predicted...
Goal full of soccer balls / Tor voller Fußbälle

Goal Distribution Comparison – EPL, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Eredivisie

Judging purely from statistics, watching French league games must be rather boring as there are never many goals. Image: koya979 (Shutterstock) The Dutch, on the other hand, tend to have at least five goals in nearly 10% of their matches. From...
Wizard with glowing magical orb / Zauberer mit glühender magischer Kugel

Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 109 bets, from 07/12/2011 to 31/03/2012

Patience and persistence is paying off. Since December 2011, Soccerwidow has published regular match previews and betting recommendations mostly for English Premier League and German Bundesliga 1 games in the German language Betfair blog. For...
Wizard with glowing magical orb / Zauberer mit glühender magischer Kugel

Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 56 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 29/02/2012

It is tricky to prove mathematically that betting success is not connected with luck because ‘luck’ is impossible to quantify or express in a formulaic manner. However, it is possible to show empirically that betting selections chosen entirely...
Champions League Finale 2008 Manchester United v Chelsea FC: Ryan Giggs and Ashley Cole compete for a ball / Champions League Finale 2008 Manchester United gegen Chelsea FC: Ryan Giggs und Ashley Cole konkurrieren um einen Ball

Manchester United’s Magical Powers of Recovery

On Sunday, 5.2.2012, millions of football fans around the world witnessed Chelsea leading 3:0 at home after 57 minutes. They subsequently went on to gain nothing more than a draw from a position which had looked completely lost for their bitterest...
Countries football-data

Historical Data: Fixture Results and Bookmaker Odds

Whoever wishes to become a serious gambler and start winning money, or even dreams of making a living from betting, needs to analyse some historical data. A source in the Internet which is simply a gold mine is www.Football-Data.co.uk. Here...
Balancing Heart and Mind / Balanzieren von Herz und Verstand

Heart Beats Brain – Is Accurate Forecasting of Specific Results in Football Matches Possible?

The English Premier League results of 5.2.2011 were simply amazing, at least in the eyes of an enthusiastic football fan like my husband. A record number of goals and not many games finishing with the expected result. The following table shows...