Demystifying Betting Myths
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A pile of white dice / Haufen weißer Würfel

What is the Ideal Sample Size for Accurate Predictions?

A common problem faced by data analysts is to decide upon the required sample size. This can be estimated by using various calculations and distribution functions. However, even if a statistician is readily available, the answer is not necessarily...
Soccer ball on cell phone; broken glass mobile phone / Fußball bricht durchs Handy; viele Glasscherben

Website Traffic Report: Soccerwidow / Fussballwitwe – October 2013

It is not just website owners who are interested in how their site performs or how much traffic their website receives. Concrete information about website traffic, visitor numbers, and page views is also particularly interesting for agencies...

1×2 Full-Time Table of Records – Value Bet Detector with H2H history

The 1×2 Full-Time table of records is a compilation of HDA data from 417 completed Value Bet Detector spreadsheets from 24 countries around the world. (League games with H2H history). Price: £12.50 (ex VAT; see below) 0% VAT to UK customers 0%...
Lay Draw EPL 2008-09 to 2011-12

1×2 Betting System: Analysis of HDA Data and Strategy Development – LAY THE DRAW

Numerous Web sites and forums pay homage to the Lay The Draw strategy with prolific threads from supporters claiming to have found extremely lucrative 1×2 betting systems. Therefore, I have decided to explore lay the draw betting in detail...
Chimpanzee in thoughtful pose with finger in mouth / Schimpanse in nachdenklicher Pose mit Finger im Mund

The Mind of a Problem Gambler

This is Part 2 of my interview with DM, a self-confessed problem gambler… I have to admit that although it was hugely interesting to dive so deep into the mindset of a hardcore gambler, it was also a little harrowing. He undoubtedly considered...
Wicked nun wielding a ruler ready to hand out some discipline! / Übelgelaunte Nonne schwingt ein Lineal in drohender Pose

The Reform of a Problem Gambler

This is the last part of my interview with DM, who is no longer a problem gambler… Beware of false beliefs; only knowledge is power SW: “Did you make any strategy breakthroughs with your football betting?” DM: “Yes,...
A school of fish with 3 fish swimming against the stream / 3 Fische, die gegen den Strom anderer Fische schwimmen

Successful Football Betting Using a Portfolio Strategy

In principle, football results are randomly distributed but the outcomes of games can be predicted fairly accurately using statistical modelling. This is contrary to other forms of gambling loaded in favour of the house such as lottery and roulette,...
Interconnected silver spheres with randomly placed red coloured spheres / Vernetzte Silberkugeln mit zufällig platzierten roten Kugeln

Football Roulette – 2012-13 Correct Score Simulation And Conclusion

In this final article on the Football Betting Correct Score Roulette System we will take the initial paper test one stage further and add what would have happened in the 2012-13 season if we had continued the system with the seven teams failing...
Snail crawling on stairs of coins / Schnecke kriecht auf einer Treppe von Münzen

Choosing the Right Staking Plan

If you have investigated staking plans to any degree then you will certainly have already heard of various different strategies such as Martingale, D’alembert, Fibonacci, Parlay, Kelly, Square Root, Labouchere, Retirement, etc. You should...
Justice blindfolded with money on a scale / Gerechtigkeit mit verbundenen Augen mit Geld auf einer Waage

Soccerwidow Match Preview Pause in Betfair German Blog

Unfortunately, this announcement is not good news for those of you who like to follow Soccerwidow’s regular match previews published in the German Betfair blog: With immediate effect, there will be a pause until further notice. Image: kanvag...