Demystifying Betting Myths
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Tag Archives: betting maths

Goal full of soccer balls / Tor voller Fußbälle

Goal Distribution Comparison – EPL, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Eredivisie

Judging purely from statistics, watching French league games must be rather boring as there are never many goals. Image: koya979 (Shutterstock) The Dutch, on the other hand, tend to have at least five goals in nearly 10% of their matches. From...
Female fortune teller holding a crystal ball to her eye / Wahrsagerin hält eine Kristallkugel am Auge

What Does ‘Form’ Mean in Football?

Please Discuss… Now and again Soccerwidow receives enquiries as to whether we consider ‘form’ in our match analyses and value bet recommendations. The reader will have to excuse our increasing ignorance of the concept of ‘form’...
Hand flipping a coin / Hand wirft eine Münze

What is a Bet? How to Calculate Mathematical Advantage?

It is difficult to believe but, there are plenty of people around who have little idea exactly what a bet is or what is meant whenever I mention being interested in betting or the fact that I run a Web site about online football betting. Obviously...
Magnifying glass over many words highlighting Education / Lupe über viele Wörter mit Education (Bildung) hervorgehoben

VALUE Betting Example – Stuttgart Playing at Home

As this weekend sees the start of the 2011-12 German football season and many of my readers are from Germany, I am in the process of finishing my statistical evaluation of Bundesliga 1, and to give you an idea of the direction I’m taking here’s...
Man with 4 arms and juggling with calculator, abacus, note pad and pen / Mann mit vier Armen jongliert mit Taschenrechner, Rechentafel, Notizblock und Stift

Calculation of Odds: Probability and Deviation

Calculating odds is a science, and statisticians/analysts, who can do the job competently, receive good annual salaries (GBP 50k-80k; €60k-95k: Quantitative Analyst). These jobs are paid so well because the results form the backbone of each...
Girl dreaming about growth of income / Mädchen träumt übers Wachstum ihres Einkommens

Psychology of Gambling and the Importance of a Staking Plan

This article discusses the psychology of gamblers and explains what a staking plan is, why such a plan is of enormous importance, and the mistakes one should avoid at all costs. With any form of betting it is essential to calculate individual...