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The Ten Golden Rules of Gambling
If you survive the assault course of these 10 Commandments of Gambling then you may have a chance of being successful with your betting activities…
There are no more than ten “golden rules” for gambling success and it’s...
The Gambler’s Ruin Explained – Fair Coin Flipping
One of the phenomenons of probability is Gambler’s Ruin. The most common meaning is that a gambler with finite wealth, playing a fair game (that is, each bet has expected zero value to both sides) will eventually go broke against an opponent...
Arbitrage between Bookmakers and Cross Market Arbitrage
(1) Arbitrage between Two Bookmakers in One Betting Market
This is the classic form of sports arbitrage (sure bets) in football betting.
The arbitrage opportunity relies on at least two bookmakers evaluating the same event differently, each...
What is the Ideal Sample Size for Accurate Predictions?
A common problem faced by data analysts is to decide upon the required sample size.
This can be estimated by using various calculations and distribution functions. However, even if a statistician is readily available, the answer is not necessarily...
Website Traffic Report: Soccerwidow / Fussballwitwe – October 2013
It is not just website owners who are interested in how their site performs or how much traffic their website receives.
Concrete information about website traffic, visitor numbers, and page views is also particularly interesting for agencies...
The Birth of a Problem Gambler
I recently caught up with an old friend of ours who used to passionately follow EPL football and bet on matches hoping to make a fortune. He staked ‘real’ money. Sometimes a lot of it!
We had a great chat, which he allowed me to record....
The Mind of a Problem Gambler
This is Part 2 of my interview with DM, a self-confessed problem gambler… I have to admit that although it was hugely interesting to dive so deep into the mindset of a hardcore gambler, it was also a little harrowing.
He undoubtedly considered...
The Reform of a Problem Gambler
This is the last part of my interview with DM, who is no longer a problem gambler…
Beware of false beliefs; only knowledge is power
SW: “Did you make any strategy breakthroughs with your football betting?”
DM: “Yes,...
Video Tutorial: Input Historical Football Data and H2H Results into Value Bet Detector
Our darling Soccerwidow is at it again with another eastern European rendition in our series of video tutorials showing you how to input historical football data into the Value Bet Detector for league games with head-to-head history.
Enjoy the...
Video Tutorial: Download Historical Football Data and Sort for Functionality in Excel
We are often asked for advice and shortcuts on how speed up the process of filling-in data in our various Value Bet Detectors such as the League Matches with Head-to-Head History spreadsheet.
Here is our very own Soccerwidow with some Excel...