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UCL Final: Bayern Munich v. Chelsea – Statistical Match Analysis & Football Betting Tips
All of the league match previews and betting predictions you will find on the Soccerwidow site are based around data obtained from our True Odds and Value Detector Spreadsheet, which is available to purchase with or without an Asian Handicap...
Understand Odds: Cup Finals and International Tournaments, played at neutral venues
Both sides of the coin…
The ‘true’, ‘fair’ or ‘zero’ odds are all synonyms for those odds which exactly reflect the statistical expectation of an event. For example, the ‘true’ odds for the...
Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 159 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 30/04/2012
After five months of writing match previews and bet recommendations both in the English and German language versions of Betfair’s blog, it is time to review the results and ultimately compare them with Betfair’s own odds (i.e. predicted...
Is Football Betting Safer than Stock Market Trading? A Few Thoughts…
In the German language version of my article, “An observation about stock trading and football betting” a comment was recently received from a keen observer (translated as follows):
“Companies can go bust. Then the entire share...
Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 109 bets, from 07/12/2011 to 31/03/2012
Patience and persistence is paying off. Since December 2011, Soccerwidow has published regular match previews and betting recommendations mostly for English Premier League and German Bundesliga 1 games in the German language Betfair blog.
For...
Similarities and Differences between Stock Trading and Football Betting
Analysing Investments
In the stock market there is a rule of thumb: Buy shares when the stock chart heads in a direction from bottom left to top right, and don’t burn your fingers when the curve is falling from top left to bottom right.
Whether...
Sharp Betting: Sports Betting as a Permanent Source of Income
Fortune Favours the Educated:
There are only three guaranteed ways of making regular, long-term profits from betting:
Arbitrage
Trading
(Both requiring large numbers of transactions for a steady drip-feed)
‘Sharp’ or ‘Value’...
Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 56 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 29/02/2012
It is tricky to prove mathematically that betting success is not connected with luck because ‘luck’ is impossible to quantify or express in a formulaic manner.
However, it is possible to show empirically that betting selections chosen entirely...
Free Download: Worldwide Football League Betting Opportunities
Whilst not a totally exhaustive list, the Excel spreadsheet available below for download shows in tabular form just about every professional and semi-professional football league in the world available for betting (split into the six FIFA confederations)....
VALUE Betting Example – Stuttgart Playing at Home
As this weekend sees the start of the 2011-12 German football season and many of my readers are from Germany, I am in the process of finishing my statistical evaluation of Bundesliga 1, and to give you an idea of the direction I’m taking here’s...
