Archive: Page 1

Effect on odds and implied probabilities

Value Betting in Operation: Why the HDAFU Tables Work

We recently received a very valid question from a reader who went through our 2017-18 Winter League Report with a fine-tooth comb: “I have a question for you since your strategy in the German Bundesliga was Underdog Whole Season, why do you...

Starting or Pausing Your 1X2 Portfolio in the Middle of a Season

What happens if I miss the start of the season or the start of the first or second half? Can I afford a break and then restart the campaign again after a holiday? In the articles Judging the Risk of a Football Betting Portfolio and Finding...

1X2 System Betting: Key Articles – HDAFU Tables

System betting using a portfolio of strategies from several different leagues is for most people a difficult subject to master. The following series of key articles is aimed at helping you fully understand the fundamentals of profitable 1X2...

What are Inflection Points and their Use in System Betting

An inflection point is a point at which the curvature of a curve changes direction, that is, the curve changes from being concave (concave downward) to convex (concave upward), or vice versa. What does this have to do with betting? Image: FXQuadro...

Sound Staking: Flat Stakes & Ratcheting

I have always preached that there is no way to make money in the long run from betting without having a strict staking plan in place. But which staking plan is the best? The answer is: A simple and straightforward staking plan. Nothing complicated;...
Opportunity Old Wooden Sign with Turbulent Background / Opportunity (Gelegenheit) Wegweiser mit turbulentem Hintergrund

Are You the Architect of Your own Fortune, or Misfortune?

Richard Wiseman of the University of Hertfordshire is a luck expert: In numerous surveys and experiments he has researched what luck actually is and he has published various books and publications in which he advocates that luck is merely an...
Multiple direction arrows over blue sky background

2019-20 Summer and Winter League HDAFU & Over/Under Cluster Tables Calendar

If you are not already aware, Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables are the analytical tool we use for precision 1X2 (Home-Draw-Away-Favourite-Underdog) portfolio betting. The level of detail contained in the tables even stretches to distinguishing...
Frequently Asked Questions - OU Course

Frequently Asked Questions – Fundamentals of Sports Betting Course

Here are the most frequent questions asked by our readers and customers about the course. If you can’t find an answer to your particular question, then please free to ask us using the comments section at the bottom of this page. We usually...
Young woman pointing on a calculator

The Science of Calculating Winning and Losing Streaks

This article is a short journey to the theme ‘risk management’ as we are often asked… How high should be a starting bank? Is 5,000 units enough? Well, there is no standard answer to this question. It all depends on the individual...
Cartoon: Group looking at a whiteboard with very strange word on it / Karikatur: Gruppe vor einem Whiteboard mit einem sehr seltsamem Wort

How do Bookmakers Tick? How & Why do they Set Their Odds as they do?

Becoming a successful bettor requires not only a deep understanding of odds calculation but, it is also necessary to understand how the market works and especially how the bookmakers operate. Of course, bookmakers are in the business of setting...