
Arbitrage Betting is ‘Sure Betting’
In the world of sports betting the art of arbitrage involves wagering on both or all sides of an event with the right combination of odds and stakes in place to make a profit whatever the outcome of that event.
The principle of arbitrage is ‘sure betting‘, supposedly with minimum risk (for the seasoned arbitrageur) and long-term, guaranteed profits.
Surely this is the closest you can come to attaining the “Holy Grail” in betting? Or maybe not?
Let’s examine why the reality rarely matches the myth.
If It’s So Good, Why Isn’t Everyone Doing It?
Despite the apparent rewards on offer, the number of professional sports arbitrageurs worldwide is estimated to be in the low tens of thousands — and likely not more. For context, Deutsche Börse AG, which operates the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, employs over 13,500 staff.[1]
But — you may say — RebelBetting? One of the largest providers of automated arbitrage services that claims hundreds of thousands of sign-ups.
Hey! Please think!!!
Most users likely never move beyond trial use, and probably only a tiny fraction operate at the professional level required to sustain long-term profits. It’s marketing talk you’re reading there, not a real report. And notice: RebelBetting holds back its actual user numbers.
In its June 2024 report, RebelBetting states that its users placed over 350,000 bets, generating total profits of €287,000. This sounds impressive, no?
However, the platform does not disclose how many users contributed to these results, what percentage were profitable, or how profits were distributed — making it difficult to assess how many users, if any, are operating at a serious professional scale.
Even assuming the numbers are accurate. Please take your calculator and do — just a little bit — some maths:
- €287,000 ÷ 350,000 bets = ~€0.82 profit per bet
- If an average user placed 500 bets that month, their profit would be ~€410
- That’s before accounting for limits, stake restrictions, errors, or closed accounts
Without knowing how many users were involved, we can’t tell whether this represents 100 professionals earning €2,870 each, or 3,000 hobbyists making just €95. That lack of detail makes the claim informative at best, but far from conclusive as evidence of sustainable professional income.
But one thing you can take for granted from these reasoning is that the number of professional arbers is in the low tens of thousands.[2]
Why may that be?
So, why such a relatively small group of customers taking advantage of the so-called ‘guaranteed’ gains averaging between 1.5% and 3.5% per bet (a typical ‘arb‘ provides around 2.5%), with perhaps 15-25% potential profit on the capital employed each month? That’s a far higher reward than any bank, building society, or share dividend offers!
Is Arbitrage legal?
There is no question that arbitrage is legal because the arber is simply exploiting price differences in the market, effectively buying and selling (bets) as any trader does. There is nothing illegal about this.
However, even when arbitrage betting is legal, since 2020 many countries (especially in the UK and EU) have introduced stricter regulations on online betting platforms – making it now even more difficult for arbers:
- KYC (Know Your Customer) – mandatory identity checks and source-of-funds documentation
- AML (Anti-Money Laundering) – stronger scrutiny of deposit/withdrawal behaviour
- Geo-blocking – limiting access based on user location (VPN use often violates terms)
- Betting limits – faster stake restrictions for accounts flagged as “professional” or “unprofitable”
Even if these regulations don’t make arbitrage illegal, they’ve made it significantly harder to sustain over time without being detected, blocked, or penalised.
Of course, it should be understandable that bookmakers are not fond of arbers — as arbers do not care if they win or lose, do not take any accumulators, and are not available for any of the marketing offers bookmakers use to attract losing customers. And as every company has the right (even arbitrarily) to decide who their customers should be, many bookmakers therefore prohibit arbers from their books. As soon as suspicion is aroused, accounts are quickly limited or even closed.
High Capital Requirement and Personal Characteristics
Successful arbitrage betting ultimately guarantees small returns but the sacrifice is that the process requires large funds. The money is tied-up in the venture for a potentially long period of time.
Pursuing an average 2.5-3.0% profit per betting round and targeting a return of 15-25% of the capital employed per month, the ‘arber’ needs, for example, a starting bank of at least 25,000 € in order to make 5,000 € profit per month.
Wow! A lot of money required at the start to make it worthwhile, and entering the arbitrage arena on these terms will be impossible for many.
Of course, arbitrage betting is a pretty safe investment, but in addition to substantial funds it requires not only great expertise but also some strong personal characteristics to make it possible at all:
- Many time-consuming calculations must be performed. Ouch, lots of maths!
- Clear and complete records of every transaction must be kept. How boring!
- Discipline and consistency has to be maintained at all times. Far too unsocial!
And lastly, a really stable, reliable and fast internet connection is essential, without any limitations to any bookmaker or exchange worldwide.
However, the average punter is perhaps not such a ‘professional’ investor, but bets for fun and/or the excitement of watching an event knowing that money is riding on the outcome. Of course, he hopes to profit from the wager but his are gambles, not investments. Is that the reason why there are so few ‘arbers’ out there and active in the market?
Sports Arbitrage Betting – Cost and Effectiveness
Although arbitrage is legitimately described as “risk free”, it is still not absolutely free of risk as our article risks of arbitrage betting and solutions explains.
One ‘arb’ gone wrong can cost the profits of approx. 20 successful ‘arbs’. Therefore no more than 5% of the available capital should be used per arb. This means that of our total working capital of 25,000 €, approximately 1,000 will be employed per arb, earning between 20 and 35 € each time.
Do not underestimate the effort necessary to live from arbitrage betting!
To achieve a profit target of 5,000 € monthly, approx. 250 (!) successful arbitrage trades per month are needed and assuming 20 working days per month (with enough games to trade), around 12 trades per day are necessary, including recording, accounting and monitoring. Professional arbitraging is definitely a full-time occupation.
In addition to the time requirements, for anyone thinking of becoming a professional arbitrageur several other considerations need to be made:
- The arber’s place of residence should ideally be in a country where betting and the use of betting exchanges is actually permitted.
- By its very nature the job is anti-social and involves long hours on the computer, perhaps working at odd times of the day (or night).
So, arbitraging, it’s not just hard work — it’s isolating, repetitive, and high-pressure and, in addition, attaining significant, tax-free arbitrage profits usually takes several years of experience until a knowledge level is reached where a comfortable living can finally be made.
Here, we are talking about an annual income in the region of 50,000-70,000 €.
Whether this level of fortune is worth the effort and the sacrifices necessary, or if it represents success at all, is down to the individual to decide.
It is therefore a very personal decision if sports arbitrage betting is actually worthwhile pursuing…
Arbers may need to act below the radar of most bookmakers
There are very few bookmakers who openly welcome arbers as customers and Pinnacle Sports is one of the few we can name with any confidence.
Therefore, it may be necessary to act below the radar of most bookmakers and use a friend or family member as “a front”. In other words, registering with bookies using different names and/or different IP addresses. And while technically legal, using fronts or VPNs may violate terms and risk withheld balances.
There are probably many other ways to fool bookmakers regarding your true identity, but any such method is likely to increase your risks and costs.
The ultimate penalty is having an account closed by the bookmaker. This could be made worse if they decide to retain your account balance on the grounds that you have broken their rules and regulations, leaving you in a quandary of how to get it back. This in turn could result in several bookmakers black-listing you, making it difficult to re-enter the arbitrage arena online.
Conclusion
The market place for arbitrage transactions is comparatively small. There are hundreds, likely approaching 1,000, active online bookmakers worldwide—though only a few dozen are major players with significant market share. The vast majority operate on a much smaller scale, and most are hostile to arbitrage bettors. Stake limits, account closures, and geo-blocking are now routine responses to detected arbitrage activity.[3]
Arbitrage betting is a balancing act of pursuing a perfectly legal occupation but to be permanently treated as an ‘unwanted’ customer. Moreover, the potential income is perhaps limited to a maximum of 50,000-70,000 € per annum due to bookmaker stake limits, own capacity, betting bank size, time constrictions, etc.
Before you decide to give arbitrage a go please consider carefully whether it is in fact a good use of your time to learn and master. There are other things you can do to learn a new trade and make money in a profitable, but more socially acceptable way.
If you are curious about arbitrage betting then it may be worthwhile checking out the experiences of a professional trader: Alan Seymour’s Sports Arbitrage Review. Alan has been arbing since 2002 and his blog describes his experiences both honestly and openly. Really great advice on his site!
Sources & Reasoning:
[1]Deutsche Börse AG. Annual Report 2022, p. 52
[2]🔍 Assessing the Claim: “Low Tens of Thousands of Professional Arbers Worldwide”
- RebelBetting’s Claim on their Mainpage
>>> This is a cumulative figure, not concurrent users.
According to RebelBetting’s own June 2024 report, users placed over 350,000 bets and earned €287,000 in profit, meaning a profit of €0.82 per bet. Without knowing how many users were involved, we can’t tell whether this represents 100 professionals earning €2,870 each, or 3,000 hobbyists making just €95 each.
- Forum and Community Data
Long-standing arbitrage forums like Arbusers or Smart Betting Club show thousands of posts, not tens of thousands of active professionals.
Most posts involve beginners or semi-pros. Very few document full-time income success.
- Bookmaker Behaviour
Most online bookmakers ban or limit arbers precisely because it’s a threat — but only in volume.
Industry interviews (e.g., Joseph Buchdahl, Pinnacle blog) suggest that serious arbers are a known but manageable minority — not hundreds of thousands.
- Comparison to Financial Arbitrage
Even in high-frequency trading, where tools are more accessible and regulation is stronger, true arbitrageurs are specialised and rare — generally concentrated in top firms or hedge funds.
[3]🔍 Reality Check
- “Likely approaching 1,000 bookmakers”
A database like Top100Bookmakers lists 946 active bookmakers as of June 2025.
IBISWorld reports 4,922 global casinos & online gambling businesses as of 2023, an increase of 2.9% from 2022.
→ So, the total number of bookmakers lies somewhere between several hundred and a few thousand.
- “Only 50 are of any real size”
Data on daily visits (Top100Bookmakers) shows a handful of operators with high traffic — such as Bet365, Betway, and Hollywoodbets.
TalkSPORT’s evaluation of the UK recognised about 15 major UK bookmakers.
→ The “rule of 50” holds as a reasonable heuristic: a small number of large operators dominate, while the rest are much smaller or niche.
- “Majority do not want arbers as customers”
Consistent bookmaker behaviour (e.g. geo-blocking, account closures, stake restrictions) is well-documented across forums and professional accounts.
While not every bookmaker posts formal policies publicly, the reported behaviour is widespread.
→ No single source quantifies this, but the claim aligns with industry norms and bookmaker communications to customers.
This article was originally published in July 2014 and has been fully refurbished and updated on 15 June 2025. If you have questions, observations, or would like to share your own experience with arbitrage betting, feel free to leave a comment below. Thanks for reading.
Hello Soccerwidow!
First of all I would like to give you my congratulations for the good job you are doing. You have really good and applicable information in your site.
I´ve tryed Arbing with good sucess, but after 5 months, all my accounts were either, limited or closed, by the bookmakers. I dont believe anyone can be a professional of arbitrage.
Regards
Nuno
Hey Nuno ,
i would like to exchange some with arbitrage betting as i ve done it myself for some months. If you are interested get back to me: screecy[at]web[dot]de
regards
This website was… how do you say it? Relevant! Finally I have found something that helped me. Appreciate it!
I’ve been using rebelbetting for a year. starting with £300 i made all deposit bonuses and now spin £7000 making increasingly £1000ish a month
Sure i got limited and/or my accounts got closed, but there’s many, and the best ones are actually arb friendly, and the allow to be in tousands, not under 100.
RebelBetting also does all the math for me and its so easy i make more out of arbitrage then off my day job now.
hi Mike, it sounds good. i bought rebelbetting for week and i would like to ask you about some good practices. thanks
monika
I think spending 100’s of pounds to check sports arbitrage is not worth, certainly at one time our accounts will get limited. I tried some free sure bets website like bmbets.com
myarbets.com betbrain or more popular website 1% arbitrage.
What a one sided retarded post ! Discipline and consistency are far too unsocial ? Lots of math ? How boring ? 5000 per month not enough for you ?
Everyone is entitled to their opinion, Hunters, and yours is valued just as much as the next man. The point we were making is that you need five times the starting capital i.e. 25,000 to make 5,000 per month – never said we would not be satisfied with this level of outcome! Yes, arbitrage success demands a lot of accurate, sometimes complex math, especially when performing cross-market arbitrage. Get it wrong once and you undo the good work of many, many correct arbitrage transactions. I am also sure you will agree that unending repetition in any line of work can be extremely boring… 🙂
Also, look at Mike above – he confesses to needing seven times starting capital to make 1,000 per month. This job guarantees that you will have to tie up a large chunk of money as investment in order to make the required returns.
You do need a large starting bank before really good profits can be made. Personally I would want loads for practice first before I go risking all that cash. We’ve written about this subject and done arbitrage trading. It does take practice and experience.
There are some simple and straight forward processes to follow that will limit problems like not being about to get both sides of the trade down and getting accounts closed by bookmakers.
Cross market arbitrage are where the biggest spreads are. I believe the most experienced traders don’t only use arbitrage services now and then.
Arbing is a great way to make money if you are fast enough to spot the odds wanting to be matched on a betting exchange….this requires always having funds in each account — which obviously mounts up to a lot of capital investment/considering you will be dealing with at least 10 fixed odds bookmakers, but usually just relying on the hardcore 5 or 6. Rarely do u see arbs just there for the taking. 90% of them are judgement. judging a betting pattern. say, if at fixed odds best price is 11/4; yet someone wants £400 on at 3.65, this is a guarateed sign. usually the ppl wanting this hypothetical 400 on have had their own fixed odds accounts closed…therfore, wanting so much on early. and most probably these go off at race time at lower odds of say 3.2 or so. But where the arber gets stung, is if he greedily tries to arb to short, to enhance his profits. a number of things could happen in the interim period befre the horse race, such a ground changing. if the arb is not matched and the arber has already invested his fixed odds investment, the arber then has to make a decision; which is usually take a loss….or let it ride and hope it gets matched in-running….which many times they do, but if not its frustrating!!! but overall, over the year still profitable if your accounts are not closed down. the only way forward is using multiple ID….a good way for this is to accrue many ‘girlfriends’ lol
That’s a great blog. In my aspect many people find “Sport Arbitrage” helpful. I am also using the site myarbets.com, just for entertainment purpose.