Archive: Money Management Subscribe to Money Management

A school of fish with 3 fish swimming against the stream / 3 Fische, die gegen den Strom anderer Fische schwimmen

Successful Football Betting Using a Portfolio Strategy

In principle, football results are randomly distributed but the outcomes of games can be predicted fairly accurately using statistical modelling. This is contrary to other forms of gambling loaded in favour of the house such as lottery and roulette,...
Snail crawling on stairs of coins / Schnecke kriecht auf einer Treppe von Münzen

Choosing the Right Staking Plan

If you have investigated staking plans to any degree then you will certainly have already heard of various different strategies such as Martingale, D’alembert, Fibonacci, Parlay, Kelly, Square Root, Labouchere, Retirement, etc. You should...
Crazy young scientist trying to break his alarm clock / Verrückter Wissenschaftler versucht, seinen Wecker zu zerschlagen

Euro 2012 Simulation – The Moment of Truth: Staking Plan Comparison

The Nutty Professors: Congratulations to those ‘mad’ scientists at the International School of Management (ISM) in Frankfurt and the German Sports University in Cologne whose predictions we followed throughout Euro 2012. Image: Pikoso.kz...
Wizard with glowing magical orb / Zauberer mit glühender magischer Kugel

Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 274 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 30/06/2012

The end of the month has arrived once again and following 29 match analyses encompassing 67 more value bet recommendations, it is time for our usual reckoning. June was indeed an exceptional month realising a yield of 16.4%. The formulas and...
Wizard with glowing magical orb / Zauberer mit glühender magischer Kugel

Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 207 Bets, 07/12/2011 – 31/05/2012

The end of the month has arrived again and after 17 match analyses and 48 more value bet recommendations, it is time for our summary. May was the first month we published our value bet articles and predictions in both Betfair’s German...
Handcuffed businessman with bank notes / Mit Handschellen am Rücken gefesselter Geschäftsmann mit Banknoten in den Händen

Betfair Premium Charge Part 2

Death Of The Dream: So, my case scenario revolves around the fact that you are statistically more likely to belong to the 99.5% majority of Betfair customers who have a tendency to lose more bets than you win. If so, you can rest assured that...
G-cramp squeezing oil from coins

Betfair Premium Charge Part 1

The Naked Truth: I had always believed that if I found one good strategy (or hopefully more), I could sit back and earn an easy, tax-free living from betting, whilst at the same time having fun operating this blog and explaining to other people...
Wizard with glowing magical orb / Zauberer mit glühender magischer Kugel

Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 56 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 29/02/2012

It is tricky to prove mathematically that betting success is not connected with luck because ‘luck’ is impossible to quantify or express in a formulaic manner. However, it is possible to show empirically that betting selections chosen entirely...
Computer mouse attached to football bearing 1X2 symbols / Computemaus befestigt an einem Fußball mit 1X2 Symbolen

Value Bet Test Evaluation – Three Months – 65% Bank Increase

In August 2011, Soccerwidow began a portfolio football betting exercise involving the backing of over-priced odds and the laying of under-priced odds, subject to certain calculated probability parameters. The picks were originally only published...
Girl dreaming about growth of income / Mädchen träumt übers Wachstum ihres Einkommens

Psychology of Gambling and the Importance of a Staking Plan

This article discusses the psychology of gamblers and explains what a staking plan is, why such a plan is of enormous importance, and the mistakes one should avoid at all costs. With any form of betting it is essential to calculate individual...