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Successful Football Betting Using a Portfolio Strategy
In principle, football results are randomly distributed but the outcomes of games can be predicted fairly accurately using statistical modelling.
This is contrary to other forms of gambling loaded in favour of the house such as lottery and roulette,...
Choosing the Right Staking Plan
If you have investigated staking plans to any degree then you will certainly have already heard of various different strategies such as Martingale, D’alembert, Fibonacci, Parlay, Kelly, Square Root, Labouchere, Retirement, etc.
You should...
Euro 2012 Simulation – The Moment of Truth: Staking Plan Comparison
The Nutty Professors:
Congratulations to those ‘mad’ scientists at the International School of Management (ISM) in Frankfurt and the German Sports University in Cologne whose predictions we followed throughout Euro 2012.
Image: Pikoso.kz...
Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 274 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 30/06/2012
The end of the month has arrived once again and following 29 match analyses encompassing 67 more value bet recommendations, it is time for our usual reckoning.
June was indeed an exceptional month realising a yield of 16.4%. The formulas and...
Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 207 Bets, 07/12/2011 – 31/05/2012
The end of the month has arrived again and after 17 match analyses and 48 more value bet recommendations, it is time for our summary.
May was the first month we published our value bet articles and predictions in both Betfair’s German...
Betfair Premium Charge Part 2
Death Of The Dream:
So, my case scenario revolves around the fact that you are statistically more likely to belong to the 99.5% majority of Betfair customers who have a tendency to lose more bets than you win. If so, you can rest assured that...
Betfair Premium Charge Part 1
The Naked Truth:
I had always believed that if I found one good strategy (or hopefully more), I could sit back and earn an easy, tax-free living from betting, whilst at the same time having fun operating this blog and explaining to other people...
Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 56 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 29/02/2012
It is tricky to prove mathematically that betting success is not connected with luck because ‘luck’ is impossible to quantify or express in a formulaic manner.
However, it is possible to show empirically that betting selections chosen entirely...
Value Bet Test Evaluation – Three Months – 65% Bank Increase
In August 2011, Soccerwidow began a portfolio football betting exercise involving the backing of over-priced odds and the laying of under-priced odds, subject to certain calculated probability parameters.
The picks were originally only published...
Psychology of Gambling and the Importance of a Staking Plan
This article discusses the psychology of gamblers and explains what a staking plan is, why such a plan is of enormous importance, and the mistakes one should avoid at all costs.
With any form of betting it is essential to calculate individual...
