Demystifying Betting Myths
Statistics are the language of betting; learn to speak fluently, and the market will reveal its secrets.

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Author Archives: Soccerwidow

Dollar notes / Geldbündel zusammengerollter Dollarscheine

How to Calculate Losing Streaks & Optimal Bankroll

In this article we will teach you to determine how large your starting bank needs to be to avoid bankruptcy by calculating the longest losing streaks that can be expected from your chosen betting strategy. What is Bankroll Management? Bankroll...

Why do bookmakers ban their customers, close accounts or limit stakes?

Recently we received an email from a distressed reader who after a very short time scale (just 2 months!) employing a strategy based on our Home-Draw-Away article, found that without warning several bookmakers (e.g. Boylesport, Stan James,...
Computer mouse attached to football bearing 1X2 symbols / Computemaus befestigt an einem Fußball mit 1X2 Symbolen

1X2 Betting System – Staking the Underdog

Every year we publish HDAFU simulation tables (Home, Draw, Away, Favourites, Underdogs), which model profit & losses for five seasons in each featured league for developing profitable betting systems. Today’s article discusses the...
Lay the Draw - 5 seasons - fixed stake

Bet and Win – Avoid Placing Bets at the Start of Season

If you are not operating a football betting portfolio which is primarily aimed at diversifying risk and balancing your cash resources between different leagues, matches, and outcomes, then it is strongly advisable to hold off from any betting...
Man weighs money on a scale / Man wiegt Geld auf einer Waage

Top 10 Tips: How to Save Money without Living Cheaply

You don’t need to be a millionaire to live an enjoyable life. Here are the top 10 tips on how to save money and at the same time live a good life, and I mean a really good life. Live your dreams without tightening your budget to a point which...
Young woman agonizing over financial calculations in her kitchen / Junge Frau quält sich mit finanziellen Berechnungen in ihrer Küche

Always in the Red? Control your Banking Behaviour!

Recently, an old friend came along and asked me to have a look at his finances. Despite the fact his monthly net pay was in the region of £2,500, his overdraft was constantly rising. He often found it quite difficult, especially at the end...
Cartoon: Businessmen look on as old timer uses divining rod / Geschäftsleute sehen seinem alten Mann mit Wünschelrute zu

What You Should Know About Value for Money & Personal Finances

The crucial importance of truly understanding the concept of ‘Value for Money‘ first dawned on me when I was appointed by a school in England to sort out their finances in 2003. Despite being a well-funded state school their budget...
Higher Mathematics formulas / Höhere Mathematik Formeln

Combinatorics and Probability Theory in Football Betting

Introduction to Combinatorics and Probability Theory This article is a step-by-step guide explaining how to compute the probability that, for example, exactly 4 out of 6 picks win, or how to calculate the likelihood that at least 4 of 6 bets...
Heads as gears and cogs shaped exchanging ideas / Köpfe geformt als Zahnräder im Austausch von Ideen

Two Completely Legal Tricks to Hide Your Identity

When you surf the internet your computer is given a public IP address. This address determines accurate information about your computer and its location. Simply put, without proper safeguards, anonymity when using the internet no longer exists...
Man receives money from hand within laptop screen / Mann bekommt Geld von einer Hand aus einem Laptop

Liquidity at Betting Exchanges – Which are the Best?

For serious bettors and professional traders, betting exchanges are the most convenient and reliable platforms. Bookmakers are often very quick to limit stakes and/or close accounts of successful customers, or void individual bets or even whole...