Tag Archives: value betting
Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 159 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 30/04/2012
After five months of writing match previews and bet recommendations both in the English and German language versions of Betfair’s blog, it is time to review the results and ultimately compare them with Betfair’s own odds (i.e. predicted...
Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 109 bets, from 07/12/2011 to 31/03/2012
Patience and persistence is paying off. Since December 2011, Soccerwidow has published regular match previews and betting recommendations mostly for English Premier League and German Bundesliga 1 games in the German language Betfair blog.
For...
Sharp Betting: Sports Betting as a Permanent Source of Income
Fortune Favours the Educated:
There are only three guaranteed ways of making regular, long-term profits from betting:
Arbitrage
Trading
(Both requiring large numbers of transactions for a steady drip-feed)
‘Sharp’ or ‘Value’...
Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 56 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 29/02/2012
It is tricky to prove mathematically that betting success is not connected with luck because ‘luck’ is impossible to quantify or express in a formulaic manner.
However, it is possible to show empirically that betting selections chosen entirely...
What Does ‘Form’ Mean in Football?
Please Discuss…
Now and again Soccerwidow receives enquiries as to whether we consider ‘form’ in our match analyses and value bet recommendations.
The reader will have to excuse our increasing ignorance of the concept of ‘form’...
What is a Bet? How to Calculate Mathematical Advantage?
It is difficult to believe but, there are plenty of people around who have little idea exactly what a bet is or what is meant whenever I mention being interested in betting or the fact that I run a Web site about online football betting.
Obviously...
Value Bet Test Evaluation – Three Months – 65% Bank Increase
In August 2011, Soccerwidow began a portfolio football betting exercise involving the backing of over-priced odds and the laying of under-priced odds, subject to certain calculated probability parameters.
The picks were originally only published...
Calculation of Odds: Probability and Deviation
Calculating odds is a science, and statisticians/analysts, who can do the job competently, receive good annual salaries (GBP 50k-80k; €60k-95k: Quantitative Analyst).
These jobs are paid so well because the results form the backbone of each...
Historical Data: Fixture Results and Bookmaker Odds
Whoever wishes to become a serious gambler and start winning money, or even dreams of making a living from betting, needs to analyse some historical data.
A source in the Internet which is simply a gold mine is www.Football-Data.co.uk. Here...
Heart Beats Brain – Is Accurate Forecasting of Specific Results in Football Matches Possible?
The English Premier League results of 5.2.2011 were simply amazing, at least in the eyes of an enthusiastic football fan like my husband. A record number of goals and not many games finishing with the expected result. The following table shows...
