Tag Archives: advice

Suspended business woman clutching calculator / Hängende Businessfrau umklammert Taschenrechner

How Bookmakers’ Odds Match Public Opinion

A question we often receive from readers is why the Value Bet Detector requires 10 years’ head-to-head (H2H) data and why it is optimised to address matches where there has been a minimum of six H2H meetings in this time frame. Image:...
A school of fish with 3 fish swimming against the stream / 3 Fische, die gegen den Strom anderer Fische schwimmen

Successful Football Betting Using a Portfolio Strategy

In principle, football results are randomly distributed but the outcomes of games can be predicted fairly accurately using statistical modelling. This is contrary to other forms of gambling loaded in favour of the house such as lottery and roulette,...
Money strategies concept - dollar bills on chess board / Geldstrategie Konzept - Dollarscheine auf einem Schachbrett

A Basic Understanding of Betting Exchanges

A betting exchange is not a bookmaker. They simply provide the Web site (platform) to allow logged-in members to bet against each other… Image: Nagy-Bagoly Arpad (Shutterstock) Betting Exchange Basics A betting exchange site is a platform...
Snail crawling on stairs of coins / Schnecke kriecht auf einer Treppe von Münzen

Choosing the Right Staking Plan

If you have investigated staking plans to any degree then you will certainly have already heard of various different strategies such as Martingale, D’alembert, Fibonacci, Parlay, Kelly, Square Root, Labouchere, Retirement, etc. You should...
3D: figurine of warrior (robot) that cleans, disassembles and assembles his weapons / 3D-Bild: Krieger (Roboter), welcher seine Waffen reinigt, zerlegt und montiert

Review and Tips: MarketFeeder Pro – Betfair Bot

MarketFeeder is one of many ‘bots’ available to purchase and, out of the many I have used, it is my personal favourite since it can be tailored to one’s exact needs and every imaginable strategy can be performed automatically....
Gentleman sits cross legged in a chair with eyes closed and palms raised in a summoning pose / Mann sitzt im Schneidersitz auf einem Stuhl mit geschlossenen Augen in einer Beschwörungsstellung

The Challenge of Predicting Individual Events

Why is it so awfully difficult to predict single events accurately, when the synergy of multiple events aggregated together seems far easier to guess? Many people are able to predict how things will develop in their personal lives over a period...
Handcuffed businessman with bank notes / Mit Handschellen am Rücken gefesselter Geschäftsmann mit Banknoten in den Händen

Betfair Premium Charge Part 2

Death Of The Dream: So, my case scenario revolves around the fact that you are statistically more likely to belong to the 99.5% majority of Betfair customers who have a tendency to lose more bets than you win. If so, you can rest assured that...
G-cramp squeezing oil from coins

Betfair Premium Charge Part 1

The Naked Truth: I had always believed that if I found one good strategy (or hopefully more), I could sit back and earn an easy, tax-free living from betting, whilst at the same time having fun operating this blog and explaining to other people...
Female fortune teller holding a crystal ball to her eye / Wahrsagerin hält eine Kristallkugel am Auge

What Does ‘Form’ Mean in Football?

Please Discuss… Now and again Soccerwidow receives enquiries as to whether we consider ‘form’ in our match analyses and value bet recommendations. The reader will have to excuse our increasing ignorance of the concept of ‘form’...
3d - Man under crossbar / 3D - Mann unter einem Querbalken

Backing and Laying Under the Minimum Stake Amount in Betfair

At some stage, after extensive paper exercises and calculations everyone will reach the phase where testing a system or strategy with real money is necessary. Image: Scott Maxwell / LuMaxArt (Shutterstock) However watertight the system seems...