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1X2 Betting System – Staking the Underdog
Every year we publish HDAFU simulation tables (Home, Draw, Away, Favourites, Underdogs), which model profit & losses for five seasons in each featured league for developing profitable betting systems.
Today’s article discusses the...
1X2 HDAFU Tables: Odds Toggle Function
All of our 1×2 HDAFU simulation tables (Home-Draw-Away-Favourite-Underdog) are based on highest bookmaker odds at the close of the ante post betting market (i.e. match kick-off time, when the market switches to ‘in-play’).
All...
Combinatorics and Probability Theory in Football Betting
Introduction to Combinatorics and Probability Theory
This article is a step-by-step guide explaining how to compute the probability that, for example, exactly 4 out of 6 picks win, or how to calculate the likelihood that at least 4 of 6 bets...
Liquidity at Betting Exchanges – Which are the Best?
For serious bettors and professional traders, betting exchanges are the most convenient and reliable platforms.
Bookmakers are often very quick to limit stakes and/or close accounts of successful customers, or void individual bets or even whole...
1×2 Football Betting – How to Compile a Winning Portfolio
This article moves away from betting on individual teams, and pushes strategic thinking further up the knowledge ladder.
The method described below explains how to use our HDA simulation tables for recognising profitable 1×2 betting strategies...
Online Gamers Find Entertainment in Betting and Gambling
Most people use ‘betting’ and ‘gambling’ as synonyms, but they are not interchangeable. Online gambling sites capitalize from both types of risk-taking. Similarly, hard-core gamers are being entertained whether they choose...
Value Betting versus Gut Feeling
Surprisingly, it seems that there are many sports bettors who make their selections in much the same fashion as the multitude of people who select random numbers on their weekly lottery slips.
Whilst the lottery player may opt for personal numbers...
How Bookmakers’ Odds Match Public Opinion
A question we often receive from readers is why the Value Bet Detector requires 10 years’ head-to-head (H2H) data and why it is optimised to address matches where there has been a minimum of six H2H meetings in this time frame.
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1×2 Betting System: Analysis of HDA Data and Strategy Development – LAY THE DRAW
Numerous Web sites and forums pay homage to the Lay The Draw strategy with prolific threads from supporters claiming to have found extremely lucrative 1×2 betting systems. Therefore, I have decided to explore lay the draw betting in detail...
Calculating Odds for League Newcomers is Unpredictable
We often receive queries asking how to calculate odds for league newcomers and why we don’t develop a Value Bet Calculator for league matches involving teams without head-to-head (H2H) history, or their respective last 25 matches being in...
