Archive: Page 19
Goal Distribution Comparison – EPL, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Eredivisie
Judging purely from statistics, watching French league games must be rather boring as there are never many goals.
Image: koya979 (Shutterstock)
The Dutch, on the other hand, tend to have at least five goals in nearly 10% of their matches.
From...
Betfair Premium Charge Part 2
Death Of The Dream:
So, my case scenario revolves around the fact that you are statistically more likely to belong to the 99.5% majority of Betfair customers who have a tendency to lose more bets than you win. If so, you can rest assured that...
Betfair Premium Charge Part 1
The Naked Truth:
I had always believed that if I found one good strategy (or hopefully more), I could sit back and earn an easy, tax-free living from betting, whilst at the same time having fun operating this blog and explaining to other people...
Is Football Betting Safer than Stock Market Trading? A Few Thoughts…
In the German language version of my article, “An observation about stock trading and football betting” a comment was recently received from a keen observer (translated as follows):
“Companies can go bust. Then the entire share...
Do “Pay-per-Sale” Affiliate Programmes Pay?
One way a blog can theoretically make money is by registering with affiliate programmes. Pay-per-sale is an online advertisement system where the publisher or Web site owner is paid according to the number of sales directly generated by an advert....
Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 109 bets, from 07/12/2011 to 31/03/2012
Patience and persistence is paying off. Since December 2011, Soccerwidow has published regular match previews and betting recommendations mostly for English Premier League and German Bundesliga 1 games in the German language Betfair blog.
For...
Similarities and Differences between Stock Trading and Football Betting
Analysing Investments
In the stock market there is a rule of thumb: Buy shares when the stock chart heads in a direction from bottom left to top right, and don’t burn your fingers when the curve is falling from top left to bottom right.
Whether...
Soccerwidow Poll Results up to March 2012
Following October’s first review of the Soccerwidow poll, here is the latest set of figures in answer to the question, “Do our readers make money from betting?“.
Image: April Cat (Shutterstock)
So far, up to the end of February...
Sharp Betting: Sports Betting as a Permanent Source of Income
Fortune Favours the Educated:
There are only three guaranteed ways of making regular, long-term profits from betting:
Arbitrage
Trading
(Both requiring large numbers of transactions for a steady drip-feed)
‘Sharp’ or ‘Value’...
Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 56 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 29/02/2012
It is tricky to prove mathematically that betting success is not connected with luck because ‘luck’ is impossible to quantify or express in a formulaic manner.
However, it is possible to show empirically that betting selections chosen entirely...