Demystifying Betting Myths
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Monthly Archives: August 2013

Suspended business woman clutching calculator / Hängende Businessfrau umklammert Taschenrechner

How Bookmakers’ Odds Match Public Opinion

A question we often receive from readers is why the Value Bet Detector requires 10 years’ head-to-head (H2H) data and why it is optimised to address matches where there has been a minimum of six H2H meetings in this time frame. Image:...
Filling in a football betting coupon / Hand beim Ausfüllen eines Fußballwettscheins

The Birth of a Problem Gambler

I recently caught up with an old friend of ours who used to passionately follow EPL football and bet on matches hoping to make a fortune. He staked ‘real’ money. Sometimes a lot of it! We had a great chat, which he allowed me to record....
Lay Draw EPL 2008-09 to 2011-12

1×2 Betting System: Analysis of HDA Data and Strategy Development – LAY THE DRAW

Numerous Web sites and forums pay homage to the Lay The Draw strategy with prolific threads from supporters claiming to have found extremely lucrative 1×2 betting systems. Therefore, I have decided to explore lay the draw betting in detail...
Finger wagging at Chihuahua puppy for good behaviour / Erhobener Zeigefinger zeigt Welpen gutes Benehmen

Calculating Odds for League Newcomers is Unpredictable

We often receive queries asking how to calculate odds for league newcomers and why we don’t develop a Value Bet Calculator for league matches involving teams without head-to-head (H2H) history, or their respective last 25 matches being in...
Chimpanzee in thoughtful pose with finger in mouth / Schimpanse in nachdenklicher Pose mit Finger im Mund

The Mind of a Problem Gambler

This is Part 2 of my interview with DM, a self-confessed problem gambler… I have to admit that although it was hugely interesting to dive so deep into the mindset of a hardcore gambler, it was also a little harrowing. He undoubtedly considered...
Respectable man in suit and tie punching the air in delight / Seriöser Mann in Anzug und Krawatte schlägt in die Luft vor Freude

The Pride of a Problem Gambler

This is Part 3 of our interview with DM, a self-confessed problem gambler… Here, we feel the excitement of watching matches with a bet riding on them, and the growing power and success as the stakes increase; the wins get bigger, but so...
Businessman in a suit buries his head in the sand / Geschäftsmann im Anzug vergräbt seinen Kopf im Sand

The Rise of a Problem Gambler

This is Part 4 of our interview with DM, a self-confessed problem gambler… Despite winning 75-80% of his bets my friend hardly survived the first half of any betting season. Terms such as staking plan, portfolio strategy, specialising,...
Wicked nun wielding a ruler ready to hand out some discipline! / Übelgelaunte Nonne schwingt ein Lineal in drohender Pose

The Reform of a Problem Gambler

This is the last part of my interview with DM, who is no longer a problem gambler… Beware of false beliefs; only knowledge is power SW: “Did you make any strategy breakthroughs with your football betting?” DM: “Yes,...
Man adrift in tiny boat in binary ocean / Mann hilflos in einem winzigen Boot im binären Ozean

Create Demand for Your Products – Demand Creation and Lead Generation

There is always a reason for a product not selling well. There may be no real need for it, no money within your currently targeted audience, no desire to have the product, or simply no trust in your services. Image: Bruce Rolff (Shutterstock) Before...
How to Input Odds Video Screenshot

Video Tutorial: How to Input Best Market Odds into the True Odds Calculator

This is the last in our series of video tutorials regarding the filling-in of data into the True Odds and Value Bet Calculator Excel spreadsheet. Here you will learn the input process of market odds from sites such as www.betfair.com into the...