30 August 2025

20 thoughts on “Top 10 Tips: How to Get Rich with Football Betting?

  1. And why does one need an account with at least one of the so called betting exchanges (that are nothing different than trying to make themselves more interesting than a regular bookmaker)? I can’t understand yet why does one need to place “lay” bets on football in particular as for example you have team A vs team B. If one think that team A will not win the match, it is technically all the same if you “lay” team A, bet on X2 DC or team B to beat +0.5 AH. One should look for the highest odds rather than go and “lay” the A team with so called betting exchanges, who generally are nothing different than the regular bookmaker; just they present and advertise their products through a different (and probably intentionally more confusing) way. The only things a bettor needs to look for with bookies is the best odds and the jurisdiction of the bookie so that he can legally fight with them when they try to cheat.

  2. Hi Right winger, many thanks for your quick answer. So what I understand from your comment is that it is possible to get even bigger yield than 70% in the long run, but 70 or 100 games are not enough to be sure about long term chances. I will also have to find out other strategies in order to increase the number of matches per year.
    Best regards!

  3. Hello Onur,

    Most of our summer league experiments are now over and, for example, our League of Ireland Premier away wins system brought a yield of 57.27% with only six wins from 26 selections throughout the season.

    In order to play with this level of confidence we back-tested the previous five seasons’ data (935 games) and found the sweet-spot using our HDAFU tables. In comparison with our results this season, average yield per season in our paper test was 89.39%.

    Some of our systems lost money but when combined together they provided a strong foundation. Losing systems were supported by winning ones and an overall profit was achieved.

    When the Brazilian Serie A ends in early December, I estimate that our total number of bets will have been around 1,150. The law of large numbers is very important and I am sure you will see some moderation in your results if you extrapolate your 70% yield from 72 matches into a much longer term study.

    I would suggest that any portfolio with just 350 matches per season runs the risk of being a little fragile and more prone to fluctuations/deviations in the results. 1,000 games is a good solid portfolio.

    Hope this helps!

  4. Hi, I have been testing my strategies since almost 3 months. I have a yield of around 50% with level staking in 108 matches, which makes me wonder if this is sustainable in the long run. After backtesting my results, I found out that with some litte amendments I could even have had the yield of 70% in 72 matches.

    I have also used p-level test from another website and it also came out pretty good. I know that the strategy I use had been successful in the last 5 years each year, but I cannot be sure about the yield because I make slight changes to the original strategy, which had brought around %15-20 yield in some thousand matches over the last 5 years.

    I have also mostly better odds than pinnacle’s closing odds, which is another good sign I guess.

    So my question is: What percentage of yield is realistical? Is 70% yield even possible at all in the long run? Am I close to making good money? I cannot test it for 1000 games before I increase my stakes, because I expect around 350 games per year. Any suggestions would be appreciated.

    *Yield here means: Profit/Stake

  5. Hi Bob,

    Leave alone virtual games – they run on totally random algorithms and success in them relies solely on luck. You can find no statistics for these ‘games’ in order to plan strategies, etc.

    Sports betting relies on statistics. It is easier to predict future outcomes if you know what has happened in the past.

    Hope this helps.

  6. Agreed with your above statements but i wanna know the better option to earn money in less time. Should bet on virtual games or sports betting?

  7. All of these things mentioned in the article are true but everyone who is familiar with sports betting know them. What we dont know is a strategy that is effective and can make your profit persistent. If you have a strategy that works I am ready to pay for it! 🙂

  8. Hello Soccerwidow,

    I follow for a while your blog and it has been very helpful. Your articles make me salivate for more. Could you indicate me some books or resources about math applied to sports betting?

    Thanks in advance… Best regards

    1. Hi Nani,

      Many thanks for your comment, and it’s great to hear that you like Soccerwidow.

      Unfortunately, there are no good English books or resources about maths and statistics applied to betting in layman’s language and easy to understand. At least, not of which I’m aware of. The only book which comes close enough to my mathematical in-depth articles is a book published in German: Der perfekte Tipp: Statistik des Fußballspiels

      It has been written by a German professor, and I’m in contact with him – we are discussing possibilities of setting up project groups for research and publishing literature books on betting. However, things are still in development and take a lot of time.

      I can recommend the above book for reading, but of course, you will be only to work through it if your grasp of German is good enough. It’s pretty mathematical and weighty.

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