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Review and Tips: MarketFeeder Pro – Betfair Bot
MarketFeeder is one of many ‘bots’ available to purchase and, out of the many I have used, it is my personal favourite since it can be tailored to one’s exact needs and every imaginable strategy can be performed automatically....
German Scientists Simulate Euro 2012
Something Fishy in Germany Again!
If the prognosis of scientists from the International School of Management (ISM) in Frankfurt and the German Sport University Cologne is to be believed, then Euro 2012 will be nothing more than a re-run of the...
The Challenge of Predicting Individual Events
Why is it so awfully difficult to predict single events accurately, when the synergy of multiple events aggregated together seems far easier to guess?
Many people are able to predict how things will develop in their personal lives over a period...
Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 207 Bets, 07/12/2011 – 31/05/2012
The end of the month has arrived again and after 17 match analyses and 48 more value bet recommendations, it is time for our summary.
May was the first month we published our value bet articles and predictions in both Betfair’s German...
Understand Odds: Cup Finals and International Tournaments, played at neutral venues
Both sides of the coin…
The ‘true’, ‘fair’ or ‘zero’ odds are all synonyms for those odds which exactly reflect the statistical expectation of an event. For example, the ‘true’ odds for the...
Goal Distribution Comparison – EPL, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Eredivisie
Judging purely from statistics, watching French league games must be rather boring as there are never many goals.
Image: koya979 (Shutterstock)
The Dutch, on the other hand, tend to have at least five goals in nearly 10% of their matches.
From...
Is Football Betting Safer than Stock Market Trading? A Few Thoughts…
In the German language version of my article, “An observation about stock trading and football betting” a comment was recently received from a keen observer (translated as follows):
“Companies can go bust. Then the entire share...
Sharp Betting: Sports Betting as a Permanent Source of Income
Fortune Favours the Educated:
There are only three guaranteed ways of making regular, long-term profits from betting:
Arbitrage
Trading
(Both requiring large numbers of transactions for a steady drip-feed)
‘Sharp’ or ‘Value’...
Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 56 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 29/02/2012
It is tricky to prove mathematically that betting success is not connected with luck because ‘luck’ is impossible to quantify or express in a formulaic manner.
However, it is possible to show empirically that betting selections chosen entirely...
Value Bet Test Evaluation – Three Months – 65% Bank Increase
In August 2011, Soccerwidow began a portfolio football betting exercise involving the backing of over-priced odds and the laying of under-priced odds, subject to certain calculated probability parameters.
The picks were originally only published...
