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Over/Under Custer Tables

Over Under Cluster Tables | Betting With Statistics

The Over-Under Cluster Tables revolve around how statistics and mathematics are applied practically to betting, and how bookmakers set their odds to make money. The cluster tables are used to show how to find ‘errors’ in the odds...
Dollar notes / Geldbündel zusammengerollter Dollarscheine

How to Calculate Losing Streaks & Optimal Bankroll

In this article we will teach you to determine how large your starting bank needs to be to avoid bankruptcy by calculating the longest losing streaks that can be expected from your chosen betting strategy. What is Bankroll Management? Bankroll...
Football Betting Slip with US Dollars / Fußball-Wettschein und US-Dollar-Noten

Odds to Use for Ante Post Football Betting Systems

Bookmakers’ Motives in the Ante Post Market: Towards the end of the ante post market many smaller bookmakers will already have reached their financial liability threshold for a particular match outcome and drop out of the race to be best...
Computer mouse attached to football bearing 1X2 symbols / Computemaus befestigt an einem Fußball mit 1X2 Symbolen

1X2 Betting System – Staking the Underdog

Every year we publish HDAFU simulation tables (Home, Draw, Away, Favourites, Underdogs), which model profit & losses for five seasons in each featured league for developing profitable betting systems. Today’s article discusses the...
Conceptual image of 1x2 football betting / Konzeptionelles Bild 1x2 Fußball-Wetten

1×2 Football Betting – How to Compile a Winning Portfolio

This article moves away from betting on individual teams, and pushes strategic thinking further up the knowledge ladder. The method described below explains how to use our HDA simulation tables for recognising profitable 1×2 betting strategies...
A pile of white dice / Haufen weißer Würfel

What is the Ideal Sample Size for Accurate Predictions?

A common problem faced by data analysts is to decide upon the required sample size. This can be estimated by using various calculations and distribution functions. However, even if a statistician is readily available, the answer is not necessarily...
Lay Draw EPL 2008-09 to 2011-12

1×2 Betting System: Analysis of HDA Data and Strategy Development – LAY THE DRAW

Numerous Web sites and forums pay homage to the Lay The Draw strategy with prolific threads from supporters claiming to have found extremely lucrative 1×2 betting systems. Therefore, I have decided to explore lay the draw betting in detail...
Finger wagging at Chihuahua puppy for good behaviour / Erhobener Zeigefinger zeigt Welpen gutes Benehmen

Calculating Odds for League Newcomers is Unpredictable

We often receive queries asking how to calculate odds for league newcomers and why we don’t develop a Value Bet Calculator for league matches involving teams without head-to-head (H2H) history, or their respective last 25 matches being...
Three snails racing towards red finish line / Drei Schnecken rasen zur roten Ziellinie

Home – Draw – Away: Systematic Betting

The Numbers Game Between 2006-2011, if you had gambled unemotionally and systematically on all English Premier League matches to be home wins and placed a constant stake of 10 € per fixture, then at the end of the fifth season, your winnings...