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Euro 2012: Russia v Czech Republic – Statistical Match Analysis & Football Betting Tips

All of the league match previews and betting predictions you will find on the Soccerwidow site are based around data obtained from our True Odds and Value Detector Spreadsheet, which is available to purchase with or without an Asian Handicap...
3d target and arrows / 3D Target mit Pfeilen

UCL Final: Bayern Munich v. Chelsea – Statistical Match Analysis & Football Betting Tips

All of the league match previews and betting predictions you will find on the Soccerwidow site are based around data obtained from our True Odds and Value Detector Spreadsheet, which is available to purchase with or without an Asian Handicap...
Lay Draw EPL 2008-09 to 2011-12

1×2 Betting System: Analysis of HDA Data and Strategy Development – LAY THE DRAW

Numerous Web sites and forums pay homage to the Lay The Draw strategy with prolific threads from supporters claiming to have found extremely lucrative 1×2 betting systems. Therefore, I have decided to explore lay the draw betting in detail...
Balancing Heart and Mind / Balanzieren von Herz und Verstand

Heart Beats Brain – Is Accurate Forecasting of Specific Results in Football Matches Possible?

The English Premier League results of 5.2.2011 were simply amazing, at least in the eyes of an enthusiastic football fan like my husband. A record number of goals and not many games finishing with the expected result. The following table shows...
Businessman scans laptop screen with a magnifying glass / Mann sucht Zahlen mit einer Lupe auf einem Bildschirm

HT/FT – Betting on Equally Matched Teams – Evaluation

A fortnight ago I explained the popular football betting strategy: System X1. This is a combination bet of draw/home on the half-time and full-time results of a game using a picking criteria of games between evenly matched teams in terms of...

True Odds & Value Detector: League Games with H2H History

In conjunction with our regular match previews published in the German Betfair blog we are pleased to present our league match with head-to-head history ‘Value’ bet detector spreadsheet. League Games with H2H History Price: £29.90 WITH...

Results of our 2020 Summer League HDAFU Tables’ Real Time Test

From July 1st to August 26th we ran a Summer League HDAFU Tables Live Picks Trial to see if and how coronavirus lockdowns have affected match outcomes and betting results. Towards the end of this summary article, we also discuss the statistical...

2019 Summer League HDAFU Tables – Campaign Report: £8k+ in 288 Days!

The best test of any theory is always how it works in practice: Below is the full account of our FT 1X2 results campaign for the 2019 ‘Summer Leagues’ based around Soccerwidow’s HDAFU ~ Home – Draw – Away –...
Effect on odds and implied probabilities

Value Betting in Operation: Why the HDAFU Tables Work

We recently received a very valid question from a reader who went through our 2017-18 Winter League Report with a fine-tooth comb: “I have a question for you since your strategy in the German Bundesliga was Underdog Whole Season, why do you...
Cartoon: Group looking at a whiteboard with very strange word on it / Karikatur: Gruppe vor einem Whiteboard mit einem sehr seltsamem Wort

How do Bookmakers Tick? How & Why do they Set Their Odds as they do?

Becoming a successful bettor requires not only a deep understanding of odds calculation but, it is also necessary to understand how the market works and especially how the bookmakers operate. Of course, bookmakers are in the business of setting...