Demystifying Betting Myths
Statistics are the language of betting; learn to speak fluently, and the market will reveal its secrets.

Experience the future of sports betting education at our new store – visit Soccerwidow's new store!

Search for calculate winning probability

Woman on rolling Euro carpet / Frau auf einem ausgerollten Euro-Teppich

What is a Bet? What are Odds? What is a Stake?

The only one of these terms which is obviously straightforward is ‘Bet’, and I am sure all of you understand what a bet is. Even the term ‘Stake’, at least so long as it is money related, is easily understandable. Whatever level your...
300x300 Illustration: 2016-17 Winter League Profit Curve

HDAFU Tables: £20k in 214 days with the Winter Leagues

Following up the successful 2016 Summer League Campaign, here is our complete report on the 2016-17 Winter League Campaign, based on 18 different top flight leagues. 2016-17 Winter League Profit Curve We will try to avoid repeating what was...
GOAL! Illustration

5 Simple Steps to Win Over and Under Betting

In the world of sports betting, most punters focus on 1×2 match results. Punters are driven to find a system for Home-Draw-Away bets, but regrettably, this bet type is actually one of the most difficult to master and to reap reliable profits...
Smart smiling business woman with a calculator / Intelligente lächelnde Geschäftsfrau mit Taschenrechner

What is Value? What is Value Betting?

Value betting is a phrase used to describe an approach to gambling for long term profit. Although this term is widely employed in the sports betting world, unfortunately neither ‘value’ nor ‘value betting’ are anywhere...
Computer mouse attached to football bearing 1X2 symbols / Computemaus befestigt an einem Fußball mit 1X2 Symbolen

1X2 Betting System – Staking the Underdog

Every year we publish HDAFU simulation tables (Home, Draw, Away, Favourites, Underdogs), which model profit & losses for five seasons in each featured league for developing profitable betting systems. Today’s article discusses the...
Woman holding bank notes close to her face with a calculator and bills in the background / Frau hält Banknoten an ihr Gesicht mit Taschenrechner und Rechnungen im Hintergrund

The Gambler’s Ruin Explained – Fair Coin Flipping

One of the phenomenons of probability is Gambler’s Ruin. The most common meaning is that a gambler with finite wealth, playing a fair game (that is, each bet has expected zero value to both sides) will eventually go broke against an opponent...
Traditional bookmakers betting shop / Traditioneller Buchmacher Wettshop

Value Betting versus Gut Feeling

Surprisingly, it seems that there are many sports bettors who make their selections in much the same fashion as the multitude of people who select random numbers on their weekly lottery slips. Whilst the lottery player may opt for personal numbers...

1×2 Full-Time Table of Records – Value Bet Detector with H2H history

The 1×2 Full-Time table of records is a compilation of HDA data from 417 completed Value Bet Detector spreadsheets from 24 countries around the world. (League games with H2H history). Price: £12.50 (ex VAT; see below) 0% VAT to UK customers 0%...
Suspended business woman clutching calculator / Hängende Businessfrau umklammert Taschenrechner

How Bookmakers’ Odds Match Public Opinion

A question we often receive from readers is why the Value Bet Detector requires 10 years’ head-to-head (H2H) data and why it is optimised to address matches where there has been a minimum of six H2H meetings in this time frame. Image:...
Lay Draw EPL 2008-09 to 2011-12

1×2 Betting System: Analysis of HDA Data and Strategy Development – LAY THE DRAW

Numerous Web sites and forums pay homage to the Lay The Draw strategy with prolific threads from supporters claiming to have found extremely lucrative 1×2 betting systems. Therefore, I have decided to explore lay the draw betting in detail...