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July 2020 - Over Under experiment P/L results graph by expected Yield

Over Under Betting Experiment July 2020 ~ Final Report & Further Findings

From 1st July until 2nd August 2020, we carried out a How to Use Soccerwidow’s Over/Under Betting Cluster Tables 5 Simple Steps to Win Over and Under Betting Profitability (Value I) Profitability is the relation of profit/loss to the money...
Profit/Loss graph after 25 rounds - Corona experiment July 2020

Coronavirus Experiment: Over Under Betting after Interruption

After the first wave of the coronavirus, most of the leagues have now resumed their games and Soccerwidow started a public experiment to see whether old statistics can still be used and what can be observed after this unexpectedly long break....
Effect on odds and implied probabilities

Value Betting in Operation: Why the HDAFU Tables Work

We recently received a very valid question from a reader who went through our 2017-18 Winter League Report with a fine-tooth comb: “I have a question for you since your strategy in the German Bundesliga was Underdog Whole Season, why do you...

1X2 System Betting: Key Articles – HDAFU Tables

System betting using a portfolio of strategies from several different leagues is for most people a difficult subject to master. The following series of key articles is aimed at helping you fully understand the fundamentals of profitable 1X2...

What are Inflection Points and their Use in System Betting

An inflection point is a point at which the curvature of a curve changes direction, that is, the curve changes from being concave (concave downward) to convex (concave upward), or vice versa. What does this have to do with betting? Image: FXQuadro...
Cartoon: Group looking at a whiteboard with very strange word on it / Karikatur: Gruppe vor einem Whiteboard mit einem sehr seltsamem Wort

How do Bookmakers Tick? How & Why do they Set Their Odds as they do?

Becoming a successful bettor requires not only a deep understanding of odds calculation but, it is also necessary to understand how the market works and especially how the bookmakers operate. Of course, bookmakers are in the business of setting...

Correct Score Betting vs. FT Result / BTTS Combination Bet

Backing the full-time home or away win in a match in aggregation with both teams to score (BTTS) has become a popular market offered by many online bookmakers. The very nature of selecting two variables in what is effectively a combination bet...

Judging the Risk of a Football Betting Portfolio

Understanding how risk can be controlled when betting is sometimes quite a challenge. Learn today how risk can be reduced & controlled when betting on football. Risk management of a portfolio should be an essential part of your betting...
Soccer Field With Snow

Why Mid-season Breaks Matter in Football Betting

You may have heard the cliché that football is a game of two halves and, indeed, we have written about the statistical differences between the first and second halves of individual matches before. But when it comes down to the essence of football...
Cluster Table Screenshot - Betting Table Tab

How to Use Soccerwidow’s Over/Under Betting Cluster Tables

Soccerwidow’s Cluster Tables are an essential tool for identifying value bets and creating a profitable portfolio in the Over/Under ‘X’ Goals market. They rely on dividing historical data (previous five complete seasons) into...