Comments on: What are Inflection Points and their Use in System Betting https://www.soccerwidow.com/football-gambling/betting-knowledge/value-betting-academy/odds-calculation-en/inflection-points-football-betting-odds/ Football Betting Maths, Value Betting Strategies Mon, 23 May 2022 16:16:50 +0000 hourly 1 By: Sam https://www.soccerwidow.com/football-gambling/betting-knowledge/value-betting-academy/odds-calculation-en/inflection-points-football-betting-odds/comment-page-1/#comment-34697 Mon, 23 May 2022 16:16:50 +0000 https://www.soccerwidow.com/?p=4654#comment-34697 In reply to Sam.

On the back of that, I thought more seasons covered might also better illustrate maximum profit points as well as maximum draw-downs which might give a better stop point if it turns out you’re stuck in an anomalous/bad season?

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By: Sam https://www.soccerwidow.com/football-gambling/betting-knowledge/value-betting-academy/odds-calculation-en/inflection-points-football-betting-odds/comment-page-1/#comment-34694 Mon, 23 May 2022 04:51:14 +0000 https://www.soccerwidow.com/?p=4654#comment-34694 Hi team. First and foremost I love Soccer Widow as a betting resource!

I was just wondering if analysing more seasons (say 10 instead of 5) would better help analyse the demise and birth of different systems/trends?

For example, being able to see a clearer picture pre/post the introduction of VAR? COVID restrictions from harsh to easing?

Might give a clearer picture of the effect of events like these?

Anyway just a point I’d love to get your feedback on.

Many thanks, Sam.

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By: amin89 https://www.soccerwidow.com/football-gambling/betting-knowledge/value-betting-academy/odds-calculation-en/inflection-points-football-betting-odds/comment-page-1/#comment-29435 Sun, 05 Apr 2020 16:03:58 +0000 https://www.soccerwidow.com/?p=4654#comment-29435 In reply to Soccerwidow.

Hello Madam,

When you say “1,900 games and group them into 200 percentiles”
On which basis you group these matches ? Are the 200 percentiles based on the odds?

Thank you !

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By: Phil https://www.soccerwidow.com/football-gambling/betting-knowledge/value-betting-academy/odds-calculation-en/inflection-points-football-betting-odds/comment-page-1/#comment-22320 Sat, 04 Aug 2018 11:34:37 +0000 https://www.soccerwidow.com/?p=4654#comment-22320 In reply to Soccerwidow.

Thanks very much for your reply.
Keep up the good work!

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By: Soccerwidow https://www.soccerwidow.com/football-gambling/betting-knowledge/value-betting-academy/odds-calculation-en/inflection-points-football-betting-odds/comment-page-1/#comment-22319 Sat, 04 Aug 2018 10:49:17 +0000 https://www.soccerwidow.com/?p=4654#comment-22319 In reply to Phil.

Hi Phil,

if you are into system betting and wish to use the HDAFU Tables for developing a profitable portfolio of bets, then no, you won’t need the Value Calculator.

However, if you a ‘Value Bettor’ meaning that you prefer to calculate individual matches and place individual bets, then you will probably benefit from using the Value Calculator in conjunction with the HDAFU Tables to cross-check profitable clusters when you have calculated your 1×2 bets.

These are two totally different approaches of finding an edge.

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By: Phil https://www.soccerwidow.com/football-gambling/betting-knowledge/value-betting-academy/odds-calculation-en/inflection-points-football-betting-odds/comment-page-1/#comment-22317 Sat, 04 Aug 2018 10:05:42 +0000 https://www.soccerwidow.com/?p=4654#comment-22317 Hi,
Thanks for a great site, the articles are really useful and i’ve learnt a lot on betting theory from over the past few weeks.

While reading through this page, i noticed that in the “How to Use the Knowledge” section, number five mentioned your value bet detector.

Do you think it’s necessary to purchase and use the value bet detector in addition to HDAFU tables?
Cheers,

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By: Soccerwidow https://www.soccerwidow.com/football-gambling/betting-knowledge/value-betting-academy/odds-calculation-en/inflection-points-football-betting-odds/comment-page-1/#comment-22071 Sun, 15 Jul 2018 15:57:44 +0000 https://www.soccerwidow.com/?p=4654#comment-22071 In reply to Sam.

Hi Sam,

If you take all 1,900 games and group them into 200 percentiles then you’ll come up with the data in the ‘IP’s by Odds’ tab you’re referring to.

Sorry, I’m not going to give away the formulas or any more explanations on the mechanics of the tables. It is already hugely time consuming to explain what the tables do and how they can be utilised for identifying profitable betting systems but please don’t expect us to give away the secrets how we build them.

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By: Sam https://www.soccerwidow.com/football-gambling/betting-knowledge/value-betting-academy/odds-calculation-en/inflection-points-football-betting-odds/comment-page-1/#comment-22063 Sun, 15 Jul 2018 10:37:14 +0000 https://www.soccerwidow.com/?p=4654#comment-22063 Hello Soccerwidow,

i have a questions to your Inflection Points Graphs.
i have seen that you use Graphs helper for that.
There i can see that u have built cluster.
Example “IP´s by odds”
starts with 1<=1,18 then 1,18<=1,20 then 1,20<=1,22 and so on..
so my question for that is did you built it arbitrary? or why do you use this selection?

Regards,

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By: Soccerwidow https://www.soccerwidow.com/football-gambling/betting-knowledge/value-betting-academy/odds-calculation-en/inflection-points-football-betting-odds/comment-page-1/#comment-21967 Tue, 10 Jul 2018 05:49:00 +0000 https://www.soccerwidow.com/?p=4654#comment-21967 Hi Everybody!

Please ask in the comment section of this article only questions that are connected to the Inflection Point graphs. Unrelated questions… please try to find an article (using the search function on the top) that is more suitable to your question and if you cannot find any then please use our general FAQ article.

Reason for that is to stay on the topic of an article for other readers’ user experience but it is also of crucial importance for us when we brainstorm for topics to write about that we have specific sources to look for questions to address with targeted articles.

Thanks!

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By: Soccerwidow https://www.soccerwidow.com/football-gambling/betting-knowledge/value-betting-academy/odds-calculation-en/inflection-points-football-betting-odds/comment-page-1/#comment-21964 Tue, 10 Jul 2018 05:34:13 +0000 https://www.soccerwidow.com/?p=4654#comment-21964 In reply to jo.

Hi jo,

the HO/AO quotient allows you to pick the bets at any time; taking away the time restriction to wait until kick-off. With introducing the quotient we have addressed the requests of our clients to provide a solution to avoid of staying awake the whole night if leagues from overseas are playing.

The beauty of the HO/AO quotient is that it stays pretty stable during the whole ante-post time. Only within the last hour before kick-off it may slightly change but very often still remains within the chosen cluster.

The best time to place bets… that’s going to be an extended article. Generally speaking… Home and favourite prices are on the whole far shorter at close of the market than two days before, or even two hours before. Prices fall as the weight of money increases in volume until kick-off.

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