Demystifying Betting Myths
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Tag Archives: value betting

GOAL! Illustration

5 Simple Steps to Win Over and Under Betting

In the world of sports betting, most punters focus on 1×2 match results. Punters are driven to find a system for Home-Draw-Away bets, but regrettably, this bet type is actually one of the most difficult to master and to reap reliable profits...
Funny man with calculator / Lustiger Mann mit Taschenrechner

Stake, Yield, Return on Investment (ROI), Profitability – Definitions and Formulas

The terms Stake, Yield (Revenue) and ROI (Return on Investment) confuse many people. We have also noticed many online publications using these terms incorrectly. This article is therefore a definitive guide to put the record straight… Image:...

1×2 HDAFU Tables User Guide: 6 Easy Steps to Find the most Lucrative Betting Systems

Please note that this is an archived post. This is the User Guide for the 5th generation of our HDAFU Tables. The tables have undergone a substantial upgrade and this guide only applies to the expired HDAFU Tables (Winter Leagues 2017-18). We...
Cartoon Searching for the edge + OU course book cover

Sports Betting Course – Over/Under Goals – Product Specifics

Fundamentals of Sports Betting (Betting on Over/Under ‘X’ Goals) is unlike any other book you will find elsewhere. It contains insights into how mathematics and statistics are applied to bookmaking, information that is rarely (if...
Illustration: Why did it have to be maths

Over/Under Goals Football Betting – Course Book Testimonials

We are very pleased that the 2nd edition of our comprehensive betting course Fundamentals of Sports Betting (Betting on Over/Under ‘X’ Goals) is now available for sale. It incorporates four more years of research and development...
Smart smiling business woman with a calculator / Intelligente lächelnde Geschäftsfrau mit Taschenrechner

What is Value? What is Value Betting?

Value betting is a phrase used to describe an approach to gambling for long term profit. Although this term is widely employed in the sports betting world, unfortunately neither ‘value’ nor ‘value betting’ are anywhere...

Why do bookmakers ban their customers, close accounts or limit stakes?

Recently we received an email from a distressed reader who after a very short time scale (just 2 months!) employing a strategy based on our Home-Draw-Away article, found that without warning several bookmakers (e.g. Boylesport, Stan James,...
Lay the Draw - 5 seasons - fixed stake

Bet and Win – Avoid Placing Bets at the Start of Season

If you are not operating a football betting portfolio which is primarily aimed at diversifying risk and balancing your cash resources between different leagues, matches, and outcomes, then it is strongly advisable to hold off from any betting...
Traditional bookmakers betting shop / Traditioneller Buchmacher Wettshop

Value Betting versus Gut Feeling

Surprisingly, it seems that there are many sports bettors who make their selections in much the same fashion as the multitude of people who select random numbers on their weekly lottery slips. Whilst the lottery player may opt for personal numbers...
A pile of white dice / Haufen weißer Würfel

What is the Ideal Sample Size for Accurate Predictions?

A common problem faced by data analysts is to decide upon the required sample size. This can be estimated by using various calculations and distribution functions. However, even if a statistician is readily available, the answer is not necessarily...