ende

Archive: Page 8

1×2 Full-Time Table of Records – Value Bet Detector with H2H history

The 1×2 Full-Time table of records is a compilation of HDA data from 417 completed Value Bet Detector spreadsheets from 24 countries around the world. (League games with H2H history). The data set represents a statistically significant...
Full House Jacks and Queens

Using Poker Odds Calculators and Moving Beyond Psychology

Being a success at the poker table takes a dash of luck, a smattering of psychology and a solid understanding of statistics. Since the growth of online poker caused the average IQ of poker players to increase dramatically it has become even...
Suspended business woman clutching calculator / Hängende Businessfrau umklammert Taschenrechner

How Bookmakers’ Odds Match Public Opinion

A question we often receive from readers is why the Value Bet Detector requires 10 years’ head-to-head (H2H) data and why it is optimised to address matches where there has been a minimum of six H2H meetings in this time frame. Image:...
Filling in a football betting coupon / Hand beim Ausfüllen eines Fußballwettscheins

The Birth of a Problem Gambler

I recently caught up with an old friend of ours who used to passionately follow EPL football and bet on matches hoping to make a fortune. He staked ‘real’ money. Sometimes a lot of it! We had a great chat, which he allowed me to record....
Lay Draw EPL 2008-09 to 2011-12

1×2 Betting System: Analysis of HDA Data and Strategy Development – LAY THE DRAW

Numerous Web sites and forums pay homage to the Lay The Draw strategy with prolific threads from supporters claiming to have found extremely lucrative 1×2 betting systems. Therefore, I have decided to explore lay the draw betting in detail...
Finger wagging at Chihuahua puppy for good behaviour / Erhobener Zeigefinger zeigt Welpen gutes Benehmen

Calculating Odds for League Newcomers is Unpredictable

We often receive queries asking how to calculate odds for league newcomers and why we don’t develop a Value Bet Calculator for league matches involving teams without head-to-head (H2H) history, or their respective last 25 matches being in...
Chimpanzee in thoughtful pose with finger in mouth / Schimpanse in nachdenklicher Pose mit Finger im Mund

The Mind of a Problem Gambler

This is Part 2 of my interview with DM, a self-confessed problem gambler… I have to admit that although it was hugely interesting to dive so deep into the mindset of a hardcore gambler, it was also a little harrowing. He undoubtedly considered...
Respectable man in suit and tie punching the air in delight / Seriöser Mann in Anzug und Krawatte schlägt in die Luft vor Freude

The Pride of a Problem Gambler

This is Part 3 of our interview with DM, a self-confessed problem gambler… Here, we feel the excitement of watching matches with a bet riding on them, and the growing power and success as the stakes increase; the wins get bigger, but so...
Businessman in a suit buries his head in the sand / Geschäftsmann im Anzug vergräbt seinen Kopf im Sand

The Rise of a Problem Gambler

This is Part 4 of our interview with DM, a self-confessed problem gambler… Despite winning 75-80% of his bets my friend hardly survived the first half of any betting season. Terms such as staking plan, portfolio strategy, specialising,...
Wicked nun wielding a ruler ready to hand out some discipline! / Übelgelaunte Nonne schwingt ein Lineal in drohender Pose

The Reform of a Problem Gambler

This is the last part of my interview with DM, who is no longer a problem gambler… Beware of false beliefs; only knowledge is power SW: “Did you make any strategy breakthroughs with your football betting?” DM: “Yes,...