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HT/FT – Betting on Equally Matched Teams – Theory


To select the final 10 fixtures I first looked at the individual odds in each game for the draw/home HT/FT result. The following is an example screenshot from the Ladbrokes site:

Screenshot showing example odds for the draw/home half-time/full-time result

These data are now collated in tabular form:

System X1 Table of shortlisted match selections

Next, I needed to select my final 10 matches and here are my reasons for omitting the four surplus games:

  • Tottenham vs. Manchester United: since United are one of the top teams in Europe and there is always a good chance they will avoid defeat away from home (especially against Tottenham in recent years), I decided to take them out.

This left three games to discard. The Premier League, Championship, League One and League Two looked fairly evenly populated to me. However in the FA Trophy there were five fixtures. As cup football is more unpredictable than league football I decided to remove the three fixtures with the lowest odds:

  • Droylsden vs. Ebbsfleet
  • Alfreton Town vs. Cambridge
  • Mansfield vs. Newport



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Last Update: 15 January 2011

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8 Responses to “HT/FT – Betting on Equally Matched Teams – Theory”

  1. Antonio
    3 December 2012 at 5:47 am #

    Interesting stuff.i wasn’t aware of this,I must say.On another thread I mention a friend who is very successful betting on overs .He also manages to profit from betting on HT-FT markets at the very high 1 2 or 2 1 prices.

    I hate him.

  2. lukas
    31 January 2013 at 2:46 pm #

    Thanx its a great idea ..will try it out

  3. Marco
    18 April 2016 at 6:36 pm #

    Can you show me how did you calculate the stakes distibution using this formula:
    Total Bank for betting on this event / ∑ Ratios (Weighting)
    x Odds = Stake

    • Soccerwidow
      22 April 2016 at 11:34 am #

      Hi Marco, I’m going to address your question (and others) within a series of articles about maths. You are not the only one who asks. These questions pop up all the time, other people even asking what a ∑-Symbol means.

      Unfortunately, I cannot promise how quick, but it’s on my current to-do-list. 🙂

  4. Onesimus
    23 November 2016 at 9:42 pm #

    Calculating price difference?

    • Soccerwidow
      24 November 2016 at 7:33 am #

      What do you mean? Please can you rephrase your question?

  5. André
    6 January 2017 at 11:21 pm #

    This is very interesting indeed! I just want to ask you how to you calculate the stakes using the formula , because im not finding the value that its presented

    • Soccerwidow
      8 January 2017 at 8:41 pm #

      Formula for Weighting:

      ∑ Odds / Odds = Ratio (Weighting)

      Formula for Calculating the Stakes:

      Total Bank for betting on this event / ∑ Ratios (Weighting) x Odds = Stake

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