ende

Football Roulette – 2012-13 Correct Score Simulation And Conclusion


In this final article on the Football Betting Correct Score Roulette System we will take the initial paper test one stage further and add what would have happened in the 2012-13 season if we had continued the system with the seven teams failing to register a 2-0 home win during 2011-12.

We will also investigate the proposed stop-loss point at the end of the calendar year, and try to project what practical uses the theory behind this system may have in a different arena.

2012-13 Paper Test

As we have seen, this is a progressive system with each stake individually calculated to claw-back all previous losses and to collect a net £100 win when the desired correct score line arrives.

In this way, the staking plan becomes exponential as we saw in the first of our three articles.

Taking the same staking system into its second season and, still assuming that each bet can be placed at odds of 11.0, the table for match rounds 24-46 is as follows:

Correct Score Roulette Staking Table - Rounds 24-46

Correct Score Roulette Staking Plan Table

NB. The new season begins on the above staking plan table for non premier league teams, but for the top-flight teams, match 20 on the original staking plan table represents the first game of the 2012-13 season (as Premier League teams play only 19 home games in a season).


You can see on the table above how quickly the stakes grow from game to game for teams continually failing to register the elusive 2-0 home win score line.

At some stage it will become difficult to get stakes of this size placed with any one market and therefore the system may have to rely on split stakes placed with more than one bookmaker or betting exchange to achieve full coverage of each match.

Looking ahead, staking may become more and more tricky in order to force this football betting system to its final conclusion; pursuing this course is dependent on having a very large betting bank and having the desired result arrive before bankruptcy.


learn to think like a bookmaker!
deciphering bookmaker mathematics

Last Update: 11 June 2013

Categories:Case Studies



4 Responses to “Football Roulette – 2012-13 Correct Score Simulation And Conclusion”

  1. Joe
    23 July 2014 at 9:15 am #

    Hi Sir., I enjoyed your creativity and am interested in using your system. I have a question for you if you don’t mind. Why is your Football Betting Correct Score Roulette System not based on the total scores higher than 3, for example, 3-1 or 2-2? I am looking forward to hearing from you. Thank you for your advice.

  2. Soccerwidow's Bloke
    27 July 2014 at 5:01 pm #

    Hello Joe,

    Thanks for your comment.

    The answer is simple really – the higher scores do not occur regularly enough to provide confidence in your betting bank. For example, if you figure how often a 2-2 scoreline occurs in a league in a whole season, you will soon understand that the possible losing streak will very quickly deplete your bank. Choosing a more frequent scoreline such as 2-0 or 2-1 to the home team is more viable. Try looking at the 0-0 half-time score line too.

    However, this is not a system I would employ personally, and the point of this article is to make people aware of its failings and deficiencies, despite its apparent popularity in numerous posts I have seen on many other web sites.

    Hope this helps and good luck.

  3. Ayon
    8 October 2015 at 1:20 pm #

    Hello sir,
    In your footnotes you mentioned that Liverpool didn’t get a 2-0 home win in 53 matches. Is this statisticks is only about premier league games or every matches like friendly,league and cup matches ?

  4. Right Winger
    8 October 2015 at 9:36 pm #

    Hi Ayon,

    Liverpool’s long run without a 2-0 home win was incredibly 53 consecutive Premier League games at Anfield…

Leave a Reply

Time limit is exhausted. Please reload CAPTCHA.