ende

2017 Summer League HDAFU Tables – For Sale!


The 5th Generation of HDAFU Tables – Now Only £17.50 each

We had a breakthrough in our thinking last year so we experimented with the idea.

Knowing from experience that the first and second halves of a football match are usually played in very different circumstances, we extended the idea to leagues as a whole.

Analysing a season’s results (or a set of them together) naturally gives only a blend of what has happened during the whole season. Splitting the analysis into halves makes far more sense. After all, so many leagues have winter breaks, or mid season intervals, and many of those leagues without a recognised break have a natural break in their programmes. The break is so long in certain leagues (e.g. Russia) that their season might just as well be two separate seasons.

We therefore decided to split the HDAFU tables (Home-Draw-Away-Favourites-Underdogs) into three separate tables per league. One showing the five season whole season picture, the next showing the first half season results (before the break), and the last showing the second half season results (after the break).

The results were staggering and showed quite clearly the distinctive trends of each half season as opposed to the whole season blend. We decided to put our theory to the test and embarked on what turned out to be a hugely successful betting campaign.

Buy Your Tables Here!

Summer Leagues 2012-16 – FULL-TIME (FT) – Excel.XLSX:

Buy Now!

PRICE(*): £17.50 GBP Per League

The following discounts apply for multiple purchases:
Buy 5, 6, 7, 8 or 9 leagues = 20% Discount (coupon code: SW20)
Buy 10 leagues = 30% Discount (10 for the price of seven) (coupon code: SW30)
Buy 11 or more leagues = 35% Discount (coupon code: SW35)

Please contact us (sales[at]soccerwidow[dot]com) should you have any questions regarding checkout and payment. For further clarification about the HDAFU tables please use the comment function below.

Should any of the above codes not work for any reason (It’s Javascript and some browsers may prevent the lightbox opening) please use the basic version of the cart to purchase your HDAFU Simulation Tables

The tables for sale are in Excel .XLSX format. Should you require a different format,
please feel free to get in touch with us by email.

(*)Prices are net prices ex VAT (Value Added Tax).

EU VAT rates will be added on the checkout page according to your location if in Europe.
Customers from the United Kingdom currently are not charged any VAT

Read more: EU VAT Information


Help with the Checkout

Open the scroll down list and click a league to highlight it.

Click on the Add to Cart button to include the item in your shopping basket.

Click Continue Shopping to add more items to your cart.

When you are ready to checkout, add your discount code (coupon code) if applicable (see multiple purchase discounts below), and click on Update Cart to register your discount.

Enter your personal details before clicking Continue Checkout at the bottom of the window.

You will then be given a choice of paying with PayPal or your credit card (via Stripe).

Contact us if you wish to pay via Skrill, Neteller or bank transfer.

Upon payment, download links for the files you have purchased will be automatically sent to your email address.


What You Now Get for Your Money

Instead of the usual one HDAFU table per league, you now get three.

However, the price per league is still sensible at £33.00 each. (Effectively £11.00 per table as opposed to the old style tables at £24.90 each).

The new style tables presented here are also optimised for filtering.

Our recommendation is for a set of systems in several leagues, enough to provide you with a portfolio of at least 500 bets in a season. You’ll then have a chance of emulating our 2016 campaign.

HDA Betting: Profit/Loss Simulation Tables
PRODUCT SUMMARY

  • Format: Excel .XLSX (compatible with Excel 2007 and higher, LibreOffice, Google Sheets, OpenOffice, etc.)
  • File Size: between 1.48 MB and 2.74 MB each
  • Publisher: Soccerwidow Ltd; 5th revised edition
  • Simulations within each Workbook: Home Win, Draw, Away Win, Favourite & Underdog, plus a breakdown of individual teams’ performance in each bet type from both a home and away perspective.
  • Language: ENGLISH

By purchasing this product you agree to our Terms and Conditions and Privacy Policy.

After payment you will be redirected to download your purchased product(s). You will also receive an e-mail with a confirmation of your purchase and download link from DPD (our partner for storing and delivering of digital products) as well as from PayPal (our partner for secure payment processing).

PayPal is an online payment service that is world-wide used for processing secure payments on the Internet. Paypal supports all major payment methods such as direct debit, credit cards and deposits. Should you wish another payment option then we also offer Neteller, Skrill (Moneybookers) or bank transfer. Check here.

Customer Comment

I have recently purchased some HDA tables which I have to say are simply excellent.
They have certainly opened my eyes to areas I had never considered before.

Studying them fully will take me a while but I used some insights gained from them on a few
games at the weekend and again, I have to say that I am very impressed with the product.

Hector


Last Update: 7 July 2017

Categories:1x2 Betting Betting Systems S T O R E



12 Responses to “2017 Summer League HDAFU Tables – For Sale!”

  1. James
    28 March 2017 at 7:16 am #

    Hi – I have a couple of questions that I’m hoping you can answer please…

    I’m looking to buy 5 of your HDAFU tables today (specifically Norway, Sweden, Brazil, Japan and MLS) but have a question about the timing of bets. Realistically I’m not going to be awake when the MLS matches are kicking off (and possibly not for the odd 5am kick off in the J-League) and I’m wondering how essential it is that bets are placed close to kick-off. Would I be giving myself a problem with placing MLS and some J-League bets before I went to bed (I’m UK based, so MLS bets would be going on 3 to 4 hours in advance of kick off, J-League 5ams more like 8 hours)?

    And final question, am I committing a cardinal sin by buying the J-League and MLS tables after the seasons have started? Will that disadvantage me at all?

    Thanks in advance for the help.

    • Right Winger
      28 March 2017 at 1:42 pm #

      Hello James,

      Many thanks for your interest in and kind words about Soccerwidow.

      The timing of the Summer League matches are not so important as the odds don’t tend to move wildly in the last hour or so of the ante post market (as they are not as popular with punters as Winter League matches such as the EPL, for example).

      However, if you are concerned then do a little homework of your own and record prices in Oddsportal.com at your last moment of convenience before the games, and then check after the games to see where the prices eventually settled for your chosen strategies at the point of kick-off.

      I’m sure with the MLS and Japan in particular you won’t see much of a significant difference.

      So far as buying the leagues midway through the season, I can only reiterate that for every league you purchase you will receive three tables, one showing the first half season analysis only, one showing the second half, and one for the whole.

      Perhaps paper test the remainder of the first half of the 2017 season in each league and then concentrate your strategies on the second half of each season.

      Or, if you perform a whole season analysis and choose a single strategy applying to the whole of the season, you can certainly get your feet wet straight away.

      It really doesn’t matter where you start so long as you keep the momentum going by running a number of supporting strategies at the same time.

      The five leagues you have in mind are a great launch platform, but I think you’ll need a couple of extra leagues in addition to generate the numbers of bets you need to reach a level of statistical significance.

      You’ll need a minimum of around 500 bets to achieve the synergy we constantly talk about. Perhaps think about Ireland and Finland too.

      And don’t forget the multiple purchases codes at checkout. You’ll see a coupon box before you enter your account details – just enter the 20% discount code SW20 to receive your saving.

      James, I hope this is all clear but please do not hesitate to contact me again should you require clarification on any further matter.

      Good luck and best wishes.

  2. LL
    19 May 2017 at 3:26 pm #

    After buying the table late, I backtested this season’s Japan J-League first 11 rounds and the results are very, very impressive. I’m just thinking if the average yield is predicted to be 15%, and after 11 rounds its 39%, maybe the best run has passed now and I will enter a kind of losing run … 😀

    We’ll see. Be it as it may, I’m very thankful to you guys for running the blog and selling these courses and sheets – this has totally changed my view on betting and I’m sure with diciplined bankroll management and staking plans, and correct calculations with the help of your spreadsheets/courses, everybody taking this seriously will earn long term profit 🙂

    Best regards and thanks again for being so responsive.

  3. Right Winger
    19 May 2017 at 4:16 pm #

    Thanks for the kind words, LL.

    Yes, Japan is always a good league for positive results.

    I am no fortune teller, but I’ve also seen results begin to outstrip expectations from very early on in a league and then watch it just keep growing, well beyond the 100% yield mark.

    Those are the league seasons you never want to end – they’re just endless summers!

    But for every one of those, there is a portfolio behind it of some systems that will fail, those that will be profitable but below expectations, others that reach expectations, and a few that exceed them.

    And you have to manage each situation with the same mental balance. When something like Japan crops up and starts spiralling upwards, I counter the euphoria with thoughts of how many failing or struggling systems will be supported by my pacemaker, and whether the second best system will also be needed in whole or part to cover the losses, and/or the third, and so on.

    After cancelling out the losses in this way, everything else that struggles over the line just in profit or beyond, is where my eventual yield will be. How big purely depends on how much of my most successful systems’ profits will have gone to make good the losses from the systems in deficit.

    In this way, the portfolio of leagues I have all running consecutively just become a big statistical bell curve in my mind – Every bet is a value bet and my profit is always going to be somewhere in the fattest section of that graph.

    The two ends where results have been more extreme will balance out somewhere along my profit line.

    Of course, it’s numbers that matter. The more systems you can employ which are optimised for results, the better. We’ve often said it but 500 bets in a portfolio is just about the minimum you need to really see the benefits of portfolio betting.

    Our 2016 Campaign article details 825 bets in 178 match days (286 total days). A portfolio of that size was always in with a good chance of succeeding, and it did, for a profit of just over £10,000 using flat stakes of £100 on each bet.

    You’ll see from the free workbook download that the highest point we reached was £11,073, which eventually settled at £10,038 at the end of those seasons.

    You have to see everything you have planned through to a conclusion; even if you abandon it financially at some stage, you should still keep paper-testing the system through its remaining fixtures. You need to know how things work in order to improve them.

    And, observing how each individual league is performing should be on an impersonal level only. You should always view things as a total package rather than measuring individuals too closely. It’s the synergy of the whole mix that counts – just ask any manager or team.

  4. jo
    19 May 2017 at 10:57 pm #

    Hi Right Winger,

    do you plan to add more leagues to summer league HDAFU tables? I’m quite interested in China’s and South Korea’s premier leagues and since Japan is on offer I wonder why China and South Korea aren’t?

    • Right Winger
      20 May 2017 at 2:08 pm #

      Just a question of supply and demand, Jo – there is not a lot of demand from our customers for either China or South Korea.

      However, you are always welcome to contact us and discuss products you wish to buy.

      We do perform bespoke jobs for our clients, and the prices of such jobs are based on the time it takes to perform them.

      If you would like us to make something special for you, then just drop us a line at sales [at] soccerwidow [dot] com

  5. Jo
    23 May 2017 at 9:31 pm #

    Hi,

    I’m probably not going to place a custom order for these two leagues this time since they have already started, but if it’s not a difficult task for you to tell me, what approximate price would be for each of them I would like to know. I’d have a better idea how to plan the next year’s summer season.

    Before I bought this year’s summer HDAFU tables I thought about Singapore also, but when I checked payouts at oddsportal.com they were about 90% at the most of the bookies. I assume it makes this league more risky than the others because of it?

    That was the reason I did not buy it and as far as I checked it’s the only league from your HDAFU leagues with significantly lower payouts? Maybe Pinnacle or Marathonbet are a bit better, but Singapore and its lower payouts really stood out to me.

    Of course, I saw Singapore results from your 2016 campaign and of its 5 previous seasons, but still… Maybe you have a comment about this league I could rely on before the 2018 season.

    Why such a small league has more demand from your customers than China or South Korea?

    Best regards,
    Jo

  6. Right Winger
    23 May 2017 at 9:33 pm #

    Hi Jo,

    To make two HDAFU tables as one-off jobs would cost £50 each based on an estimated 5 hours to collect data and then compile the tables themselves.

    In reply to your comment, we have hardly any visitors to Soccerwidow from China or South Korea – on the other hand, we have many more from Singapore – there seem to be more English speakers/readers in Singapore, which is only natural as it was a British colony for 150 years until 1963.

    Please don’t trust what you see at Oddsportal without checking the time stamps of each set of odds.

    Oddsportal is notorious for inaccurate figures – we don’t even know what their pay out figures mean as they are not based on either the harmonic mean or arithmetical average formulas. We simply don’t know how they come up these figures.

    We have to check each set of Oddsportal odds for accuracy as their API’s (the programs which lock in to the bookmakers’ platforms to record figures), do not update with all bookmakers at the same time. This means that you will often see a bookmaker’s opening odds recorded incorrectly as the highest odds at close of the ante post market. Such errors stick out like a sore thumb from the rest of the odds, and we have to correct these errors manually.

    Singapore is always in our portfolio, and usually for underdogs – It’s a good league.

    Because we filter out our systems, there is no need to pay any attention to pay out figures – they have no relevance to the system betting approach whatsoever.

    We are filtering for value, but the 90% figure you mentioned is a gross figure, including all the mistakes in Oddsportal’s odds, and without any allowance for value.

    And pay out figures have nothing to do with risk. It just shows you the over round the bookmakers have to apply in order to make a profit on the league in question. Lower pay out means higher over round, which is a sign that the league is not so popular with punters. In other words, there is less money available to the bookmakers (because less bets are made on that league) and as a result, they must carry higher over rounds in order to balance their books.

    You will notice with experience that many of the smaller leagues like Singapore contain higher amounts of value. And don’t forget that bookmakers do not try to predict the outcomes of matches – they are only interested in making arbitrage with every match they sell odds for.

    I hope this helps!

  7. jo
    8 June 2017 at 9:52 pm #

    Hi Right Winger,

    is there a minimum number of bets per system in a season that you would not advise to bet any less than that minimum? In your Summer 2016 campaign there is a system with just 10 bets and some other systems had less than 10 bets in one or two of their 5 previous seasons. I have an option to try a system that varies from 1 to 6 bets a season, is it a good idea?

    • Right Winger
      9 June 2017 at 1:50 pm #

      Hi Jo,

      No, we don’t have any rules about minimum numbers of bets in an individual system.

      So long as you have a portfolio of at least 500 bets, and a mixture of high, medium and low risk systems all contributing during a season, then there is no reason not to look at including a high risk/low number if bets system as mentioned in your comment.

      The decision is yours to make. You should feel comfortable with the potential losing streaks of each system, and you should never rely on any one system to be successful. Paper test everything before committing money to any strategy.

      Good luck!

  8. jo
    11 June 2017 at 4:01 pm #

    Hi Right Winger,

    do you have rules about odds ranges, for instance, difference no less than 0.3 between inflection points or 2 – 2.3, and even if odds range of 2 – 2.2 would be more promising, you won’t choose it, because the range is too narrow? Of course, odds range of 2-2.3 is different compared to 8-8.3 regarding steps they tend to move up and down. If i have odds of 2.32 it’s unlikely odds will drop below 2 in a single drop, but it’s much more likely for odds to drop from 8.32 to less than 8 and below my odds range.

    • Right Winger
      13 June 2017 at 1:21 pm #

      Hi Jo,

      We don’t have any hard and fast rule about the distance between the inflection points, but we rarely (if ever) come across a situation where the two odds are as close together as your examples above.

      Have a look at the Summer League Campaign spreadsheet and check out each individual system tab. In cells L15 and L16, you will see the range of the odds we were targeting in each league. The narrowest range was in Iceland’s 1st Half season system (tab ICE1A), where there were only 34 ticks between the lower (2.05) and higher (2.39) thresholds.

      Also, try and get your head around how the market moves from its opening odds all the way through to the close of the ante post market. The EPL is an isolated example, and moves differently to other leagues. This is because it is the most popular league in the world for punters and probably accounts for the sum of all the other leagues put together in terms of turnover.

      Therefore, look at other leagues too such as the German Bundesliga or France Ligue 1. Look at Oddsportal and see how the odds of particular bookmakers change up and down during ante post. For example, choose a bookmaker and hover over the odds of any game not yet played to reveal the time stamps and odds movements during the last 24 hours or so. Compare different bookmakers for the same match. You should begin to see patterns, especially how the favourite and underdog prices behave.

      For example, in the EPL, the favourites tend to start at their highest price in the market and steadily reduce towards kick-off. Underdogs tend to go in the other direction. It’s all to do with the weight of money the bookmakers have at their disposal and their primary task of balancing the book. In Germany, you might see the opposite trends, with favourites drifting out the nearer to kick-off you get. Here, the games are not so popular with punters, and the bookmakers need to continually adjust odds in both directions (up and down) to achieve parity.

      Once you have a basic understanding of how the market moves you can begin to predict how the odds are likely to move, and this will be a huge advantage to you.

      So, in answer to your question, look for wider ranges of inflection point odds, but if you decide upon narrower ranges, then a good understanding of market movements will help you to better judge whether a bet is in or out of your target ranges.

      Jo, I hope I’ve understood the question correctly and thanks again for your contribution.

Leave a Reply / Comment