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Smiling business woman with a calculator / Lächelnde Geschäftsfrau mit einem Taschenrechner

Football Betting Permutations: 5 Cup Finals in 5 Days

Slim chance for the favourites? It has been a busy week in the world of football with the conclusions of many major tournaments across Europe, including the jewel in the crown, the UEFA Champions League final between Bayern Munich and Chelsea. Having...
Goal full of soccer balls / Tor voller Fußbälle

Goal Distribution Comparison – EPL, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Eredivisie

Judging purely from statistics, watching French league games must be rather boring as there are never many goals. Image: koya979 (Shutterstock) The Dutch, on the other hand, tend to have at least five goals in nearly 10% of their matches. From...
Computer mouse attached to football bearing 1X2 symbols / Computemaus befestigt an einem Fußball mit 1X2 Symbolen

Value Bet Test Evaluation – Three Months – 65% Bank Increase

In August 2011, Soccerwidow began a portfolio football betting exercise involving the backing of over-priced odds and the laying of under-priced odds, subject to certain calculated probability parameters. The picks were originally only published...
Rays of light through the window on a grail on an altar / Lichtstrahlen durch Fenster scheinen auf einen Gral auf einem Altar

Holy Grail: Lay 0-0 at Half Time

I have come across an interesting riddle which is worthwhile mentioning on Soccerwidow… This mystery was presented by a Dr Slicer approximately two years ago in the Betfair Community Forum and still causes headaches for many people! Dr Slicer...
Magnifying glass over many words highlighting Education / Lupe über viele Wörter mit Education (Bildung) hervorgehoben

VALUE Betting Example – Stuttgart Playing at Home

As this weekend sees the start of the 2011-12 German football season and many of my readers are from Germany, I am in the process of finishing my statistical evaluation of Bundesliga 1, and to give you an idea of the direction I’m taking here’s...
Three snails racing towards red finish line / Drei Schnecken rasen zur roten Ziellinie

Home – Draw – Away: Systematic Betting

The Numbers Game Between 2006-2011, if you had gambled unemotionally and systematically on all English Premier League matches to be home wins and placed a constant stake of 10 € per fixture, then at the end of the fifth season, your winnings...
Balancing Heart and Mind / Balanzieren von Herz und Verstand

Heart Beats Brain – Is Accurate Forecasting of Specific Results in Football Matches Possible?

The English Premier League results of 5.2.2011 were simply amazing, at least in the eyes of an enthusiastic football fan like my husband. A record number of goals and not many games finishing with the expected result. The following table shows...
Girl dreaming about growth of income / Mädchen träumt übers Wachstum ihres Einkommens

Psychology of Gambling and the Importance of a Staking Plan

This article discusses the psychology of gamblers and explains what a staking plan is, why such a plan is of enormous importance, and the mistakes one should avoid at all costs. With any form of betting it is essential to calculate individual...
Bespectacled, bearded man whispers in the ear of his surprised wife / Bärtiger Mann flüstert ins Ohr seiner überraschten Frau

HT/FT – Betting on Equally Matched Teams – Conclusion

Following my articles on the theory and practice of System X1, I now present the results of the second round of matches together with an overall conclusion. Image: CREATISTA (Shutterstock) The results of the selected matches played on 22 January,...
Businessman scans laptop screen with a magnifying glass / Mann sucht Zahlen mit einer Lupe auf einem Bildschirm

HT/FT – Betting on Equally Matched Teams – Evaluation

A fortnight ago I explained the popular football betting strategy: System X1. This is a combination bet of draw/home on the half-time and full-time results of a game using a picking criteria of games between evenly matched teams in terms of...