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Woman holding bank notes close to her face with a calculator and bills in the background / Frau hält Banknoten an ihr Gesicht mit Taschenrechner und Rechnungen im Hintergrund

The Gambler’s Ruin Explained – Fair Coin Flipping

One of the phenomenons of probability is Gambler’s Ruin. The most common meaning is that a gambler with finite wealth, playing a fair game (that is, each bet has expected zero value to both sides) will eventually go broke against an opponent...
Interconnected silver spheres with randomly placed red coloured spheres / Vernetzte Silberkugeln mit zufällig platzierten roten Kugeln

Football Roulette – 2012-13 Correct Score Simulation And Conclusion

In this final article on the Football Betting Correct Score Roulette System we will take the initial paper test one stage further and add what would have happened in the 2012-13 season if we had continued the system with the seven teams failing...
Business picture about analysis - gold coins with people on a sliding slope / Illustration Analyse - Goldmünzen mit Menschen auf einem Rutschhang

Football Roulette Correct Score Betting Strategy – 2011/2012 Season Paper Test Results

What’s The Score? After describing the Football Roulette – Correct Score Betting system, it is time to reveal the results of our first paper test. 30 teams were picked according to a popular selection process: 8 from the English Premier...
Close up of roulette wheel with football instead ball / Nahaufnahme eines Roulette-Rads mit Fußball statt Kugel

Football Roulette – Correct Score Betting Strategy

Methodical Correct Score Betting Claimed by many to be very successful, this simple football correct score betting system is based on the statistical likelihood of a certain event occurring. In casino roulette, there is a well-known method...
Crazy young scientist trying to break his alarm clock / Verrückter Wissenschaftler versucht, seinen Wecker zu zerschlagen

Euro 2012 Simulation – The Moment of Truth: Staking Plan Comparison

The Nutty Professors: Congratulations to those ‘mad’ scientists at the International School of Management (ISM) in Frankfurt and the German Sports University in Cologne whose predictions we followed throughout Euro 2012. Image: Pikoso.kz...
Octopus Fortune Teller with Crystal Ball / Octopus Wahrsager mit Kristallkugel

German Scientists Simulate Euro 2012

Something Fishy in Germany Again! If the prognosis of scientists from the International School of Management (ISM) in Frankfurt and the German Sport University Cologne is to be believed, then Euro 2012 will be nothing more than a re-run of the...
Man with measure tape and golden coins / Mann mit Messband und goldenen Münzen

Impact of the ‘Overround’ on Accumulators, Multiple Bets, and Parlays

Betting odds are supposed to reflect the probability (statistical expectation) that a particular event will happen. Image: Elnur (Shutterstock) Because bookmakers are profit-making enterprises who offer bets on the market, it is understandable...
Smiling business woman with a calculator / Lächelnde Geschäftsfrau mit einem Taschenrechner

Football Betting Permutations: 5 Cup Finals in 5 Days

Slim chance for the favourites? It has been a busy week in the world of football with the conclusions of many major tournaments across Europe, including the jewel in the crown, the UEFA Champions League final between Bayern Munich and Chelsea. Having...
Goal full of soccer balls / Tor voller Fußbälle

Goal Distribution Comparison – EPL, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Eredivisie

Judging purely from statistics, watching French league games must be rather boring as there are never many goals. Image: koya979 (Shutterstock) The Dutch, on the other hand, tend to have at least five goals in nearly 10% of their matches. From...
Computer mouse attached to football bearing 1X2 symbols / Computemaus befestigt an einem Fußball mit 1X2 Symbolen

Value Bet Test Evaluation – Three Months – 65% Bank Increase

In August 2011, Soccerwidow began a portfolio football betting exercise involving the backing of over-priced odds and the laying of under-priced odds, subject to certain calculated probability parameters. The picks were originally only published...