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Detail shot of wooden stakes in lake / Nahaufnahme von Holzpfählen im See

Introduction To Staking Plans

Planning for Success: Having spent many long hours perfecting a reliable bet selection system, it would be a shame not to see its full potential realised. Soccerwidow’s recent articles offering predictions in the English and German Betfair...
Wizard with glowing magical orb / Zauberer mit glühender magischer Kugel

Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 56 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 29/02/2012

It is tricky to prove mathematically that betting success is not connected with luck because ‘luck’ is impossible to quantify or express in a formulaic manner. However, it is possible to show empirically that betting selections chosen entirely...
Female fortune teller holding a crystal ball to her eye / Wahrsagerin hält eine Kristallkugel am Auge

What Does ‘Form’ Mean in Football?

Please Discuss… Now and again Soccerwidow receives enquiries as to whether we consider ‘form’ in our match analyses and value bet recommendations. The reader will have to excuse our increasing ignorance of the concept of ‘form’...
Passports on a heap / Pässe auf einem Haufen

Free Download: Worldwide Football League Betting Opportunities

Whilst not a totally exhaustive list, the Excel spreadsheet available below for download shows in tabular form just about every professional and semi-professional football league in the world available for betting (split into the six FIFA confederations)....

Europa League: What happened here?

Translated excerpts from a thread in a German forum from yesterday (30.11.2011)… 13:48 – Akoya Hey com, I haven’t posted for a long time however for today I have 2 games which have 99% chance to win (secret source) sorry I cannot...
Computer mouse attached to football bearing 1X2 symbols / Computemaus befestigt an einem Fußball mit 1X2 Symbolen

Value Bet Test Evaluation – Three Months – 65% Bank Increase

In August 2011, Soccerwidow began a portfolio football betting exercise involving the backing of over-priced odds and the laying of under-priced odds, subject to certain calculated probability parameters. The picks were originally only published...
3d - Man under crossbar / 3D - Mann unter einem Querbalken

Backing and Laying Under the Minimum Stake Amount in Betfair

At some stage, after extensive paper exercises and calculations everyone will reach the phase where testing a system or strategy with real money is necessary. Image: Scott Maxwell / LuMaxArt (Shutterstock) However watertight the system seems...

Betting Exchanges: Backing and Laying of Bets

Even if many probably already know the difference between Back and Lay, some may not and therefore I am dedicating today’s article to a general explanation of Internet betting exchanges, including the placing and laying of sports bets. As...
Countries football-data

Historical Data: Fixture Results and Bookmaker Odds

Whoever wishes to become a serious gambler and start winning money, or even dreams of making a living from betting, needs to analyse some historical data. A source in the Internet which is simply a gold mine is www.Football-Data.co.uk. Here...
Balancing Heart and Mind / Balanzieren von Herz und Verstand

Heart Beats Brain – Is Accurate Forecasting of Specific Results in Football Matches Possible?

The English Premier League results of 5.2.2011 were simply amazing, at least in the eyes of an enthusiastic football fan like my husband. A record number of goals and not many games finishing with the expected result. The following table shows...