Demystifying Betting Myths
Statistics are the language of betting; learn to speak fluently, and the market will reveal its secrets.

Experience the future of sports betting education at our new store – visit Soccerwidow's new store!

Archive: Case Studies Subscribe to Case Studies

July 2020 - Over Under experiment P/L results graph by expected Yield

Over Under Betting Experiment July 2020 ~ Final Report & Further Findings

From 1st July until 2nd August 2020, we carried out a How to Use Soccerwidow’s Over/Under Betting Cluster Tables 5 Simple Steps to Win Over and Under Betting Profitability (Value I) Profitability is the relation of profit/loss to the money...

Results of our 2020 Summer League HDAFU Tables’ Real Time Test

From July 1st to August 26th we ran a Summer League HDAFU Tables Live Picks Trial to see if and how coronavirus lockdowns have affected match outcomes and betting results. Towards the end of this summary article, we also discuss the statistical...
Coronavirus illustration & soccer player

2020 Summer League HDAFU Tables – Coronavirus Trial – ‘Live’ Picks

This article will be updated at least once a day until the first halves of the league seasons highlighted finish. Clear your browser cache and then press the F5 key to refresh. Live Simulation: Nine HDAFU Systems in Four Leagues Many of you...
Graph Profit+Loss HDAFU Trial Summer Leagues 2020

Interim Report after 91 Picks & 26 Betting Rounds ~ HDAFU Tables

2020 Summer League HDAFU Tables: Coronavirus Trial – ‘Live’ Picks Since the 1st July, we have been running a live picks experiment using systems selected from our HDAFU Tables to see if Covid-19 is affecting results one way or another. As...

2019 Summer League HDAFU Tables – Campaign Report: £8k+ in 288 Days!

The best test of any theory is always how it works in practice: Below is the full account of our FT 1X2 results campaign for the 2019 ‘Summer Leagues’ based around Soccerwidow’s HDAFU ~ Home – Draw – Away –...
Effect on odds and implied probabilities

Value Betting in Operation: Why the HDAFU Tables Work

We recently received a very valid question from a reader who went through our 2017-18 Winter League Report with a fine-tooth comb: “I have a question for you since your strategy in the German Bundesliga was Underdog Whole Season, why do you...

Judging the Risk of a Football Betting Portfolio

Understanding how risk can be controlled when betting is sometimes quite a challenge. Learn today how risk can be reduced & controlled when betting on football. Risk management of a portfolio should be an essential part of your betting...
Soccer Field With Snow

Why Mid-season Breaks Matter in Football Betting

You may have heard the cliché that football is a game of two halves and, indeed, we have written about the statistical differences between the first and second halves of individual matches before. But when it comes down to the essence of football...
Cluster Table Screenshot - Betting Table Tab

How to Use Soccerwidow’s Over/Under Betting Cluster Tables

Soccerwidow’s Cluster Tables are an essential tool for identifying value bets and creating a profitable portfolio in the Over/Under ‘X’ Goals market. They rely on dividing historical data (previous five complete seasons) into...

System Football Betting: 2017-18 Winter League Report – 35k in 138 Days

The 2017-18 Winter League Campaign consisted of 138 betting days spanning 10 and-a-half months. Despite a rocky start and other challenging periods throughout 2017-18, a starting bank of 4,000 units was eventually turned into 38,925. Image...