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Author Archives: Soccerwidow

Business woman holding calculator / Businessfrau mit Taschenrechner

Understanding Betting Odds – Moneyline, Fractional Odds, Decimal Odds, Hong Kong Odds, IN Odds, MA Odds

The Two Types of Odds Formats There are all kinds of explanations on the Internet about various odds types, and the majority of them distinguish between fractional, decimal, and moneyline odds. Image: paffy (Shutterstock) Unfortunately, this...
Heads as gears and cogs shaped exchanging ideas / Köpfe geformt als Zahnräder im Austausch von Ideen

Two Completely Legal Tricks to Hide Your Identity

When you surf the internet your computer is given a public IP address. This address determines accurate information about your computer and its location. Simply put, without proper safeguards, anonymity when using the internet no longer exists...
Man receives money from hand within laptop screen / Mann bekommt Geld von einer Hand aus einem Laptop

Liquidity at Betting Exchanges – Which are the Best?

For serious bettors and professional traders, betting exchanges are the most convenient and reliable platforms. Bookmakers are often very quick to limit stakes and/or close accounts of successful customers, or void individual bets or even whole...
Conceptual image of 1x2 football betting / Konzeptionelles Bild 1x2 Fußball-Wetten

1×2 Football Betting – How to Compile a Winning Portfolio

This article moves away from betting on individual teams, and pushes strategic thinking further up the knowledge ladder. The method described below explains how to use our HDA simulation tables for recognising profitable 1×2 betting strategies...

Football Betting Odds Calculation Course – How to Calculate Odds – Over / Under ‘X’ Goals

Please note that this is an archived post. Here, we describe the 1st edition of our Over/Under ‘X’ Goals Betting Course. We decided not to remove this post from the site because of the many questions and answers in the comments section....
Woman holding bank notes close to her face with a calculator and bills in the background / Frau hält Banknoten an ihr Gesicht mit Taschenrechner und Rechnungen im Hintergrund

The Gambler’s Ruin Explained – Fair Coin Flipping

One of the phenomenons of probability is Gambler’s Ruin. The most common meaning is that a gambler with finite wealth, playing a fair game (that is, each bet has expected zero value to both sides) will eventually go broke against an opponent...
Sexy female sitting on a large football with red and yellow cards / Sexy Frau sitzt auf einem großen Fußball mit roten und gelben Karten

Why Football is Better than Sex !

In 2008, a survey carried out by Canon in six European countries(1) came up with the remarkable result that 72 per cent of those asked said they would prefer 90 minutes watching their favourite team rather than an intimate evening with their...
EPL 2009-14 - PL home odds inflection points

Finding Betting Odds Inflection Points – Bet and Win

Inflection points are the points at which the curvature or concavity on a curve changes from plus to minus or, from minus to plus. Translated into layman’s language – the turning points on the profit/loss graph where profits turn...
Red pen on a calculator beside a piggy bank - save on costs, expenses, and budget / Roter Stift auf einem Taschenrechner neben einem Sparschwein - Kosten sparen und Ausgaben reduzieren

Arbitrage between Bookmakers and Cross Market Arbitrage

(1) Arbitrage between Two Bookmakers in One Betting Market This is the classic form of sports arbitrage (sure bets) in football betting. The arbitrage opportunity relies on at least two bookmakers evaluating the same event differently, each...
Percent cubes, 3D image / Prozent-Würfel, 3D-Bild

Probability, Expectation, Hit Rate, Value, Mathematical Advantage: Explained

Introduction The terms probability, expectation, likelihood, chance and hit rate are all closely related, and express more or less the same thing. The difference is that before a game one talks about ‘chance’, ‘probability’,...