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Author Archives: Soccerwidow

Goal full of soccer balls / Tor voller Fußbälle

Goal Distribution Comparison – EPL, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Eredivisie

Judging purely from statistics, watching French league games must be rather boring as there are never many goals. Image: koya979 (Shutterstock) The Dutch, on the other hand, tend to have at least five goals in nearly 10% of their matches. From...
Handcuffed businessman with bank notes / Mit Handschellen am Rücken gefesselter Geschäftsmann mit Banknoten in den Händen

Betfair Premium Charge Part 2

Death Of The Dream: So, my case scenario revolves around the fact that you are statistically more likely to belong to the 99.5% majority of Betfair customers who have a tendency to lose more bets than you win. If so, you can rest assured that...
G-cramp squeezing oil from coins

Betfair Premium Charge Part 1

The Naked Truth: I had always believed that if I found one good strategy (or hopefully more), I could sit back and earn an easy, tax-free living from betting, whilst at the same time having fun operating this blog and explaining to other people...
Stock market concept - globe with charts in background / Börse Konzept - Globus mit Diagrammen im Hintergrund

Is Football Betting Safer than Stock Market Trading? A Few Thoughts…

In the German language version of my article, “An observation about stock trading and football betting” a comment was recently received from a keen observer (translated as follows): “Companies can go bust. Then the entire share...
Digits of right hand shackled by chains / Finger der rechten Hand durch Ketten gefesselt

Do “Pay-per-Sale” Affiliate Programmes Pay?

One way a blog can theoretically make money is by registering with affiliate programmes. Pay-per-sale is an online advertisement system where the publisher or Web site owner is paid according to the number of sales directly generated by an advert....
Wizard with glowing magical orb / Zauberer mit glühender magischer Kugel

Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 109 bets, from 07/12/2011 to 31/03/2012

Patience and persistence is paying off. Since December 2011, Soccerwidow has published regular match previews and betting recommendations mostly for English Premier League and German Bundesliga 1 games in the German language Betfair blog. For...
Financial reports, calculator and pen / Finanzberichte, Taschenrechner und Stift

Similarities and Differences between Stock Trading and Football Betting

Analysing Investments In the stock market there is a rule of thumb: Buy shares when the stock chart heads in a direction from bottom left to top right, and don’t burn your fingers when the curve is falling from top left to bottom right. Whether...
Hedgehog carries hundred Euro note / Igel trägt einen hundert Euroschein

Soccerwidow Poll Results up to March 2012

Following October’s first review of the Soccerwidow poll, here is the latest set of figures in answer to the question, “Do our readers make money from betting?“. Image: April Cat (Shutterstock) So far, up to the end of February...
Golden piggy bank standing out from the others / Goldenes Sparschwein zwischen vielen anderen

Sharp Betting: Sports Betting as a Permanent Source of Income

Fortune Favours the Educated: There are only three guaranteed ways of making regular, long-term profits from betting: Arbitrage Trading (Both requiring large numbers of transactions for a steady drip-feed) ‘Sharp’ or ‘Value’...
Wizard with glowing magical orb / Zauberer mit glühender magischer Kugel

Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 56 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 29/02/2012

It is tricky to prove mathematically that betting success is not connected with luck because ‘luck’ is impossible to quantify or express in a formulaic manner. However, it is possible to show empirically that betting selections chosen entirely...